Election odds & predictions

98%

MCU

2%

MOUNI

1%

RDC

<1%

URCA

100%

Faustin-Archange Touadéra

<1%

Anicet-Georges Dologuélé

<1%

Henri-Marie Dondra

<1%

Serge Ghislaine Djouri

98%

UPR

2%

BR

<1%

LD

<1%

FCBE

98%

Yoweri Kaguta Museveni

1%

Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu

<1%

Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera

<1%

Nathan James Nandala Mafabi

66%

António José Seguro (IND)

18%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

10%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

5%

André Ventura (CH)

78%

Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado

16%

Claudia Vanessa Dobles Camargo

4%

Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves

1%

Juan Carlos Hidalgo Bogantes

91%

PPSO

5%

PLN

2%

PUSC

<1%

Agenda Ciudadana

90%

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP)

9%

Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI)

<1%

National Citizen Party (NCP)

<1%

Jatiya Party (JP(E))

49%

RSP

28%

NC

13%

CPN-UML

13%

NCP

56%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

32%

Historic Pact for Colombia (PH)

7%

Centro Democrático (CD)

4%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservative)

51%

Pacto Histórico (PH)

30%

Centro Democrático (CD)

8%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

6%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

70%

CDU

20%

SPD

10%

AfD

<1%

FDP

46%

Emmanuel Grégoire

43%

Rachida Dati

6%

Sarah Knafo

2%

Pierre-Yves Bournazel

88%

CDU

7%

AfD

6%

The Greens

<1%

BSW

60%

Waddani

30%

No election before 2027

6%

Kulmiye

5%

Justice and Welfare (UCID)

51%

Rafael López Aliaga

16%

Keiko Fujimori

11%

Alfonso López Chau

7%

Carlos Álvarez

27%

FP

7%

PL

24%

AP

34%

APP

37%

RP

35%

APP

34%

SP

32%

PP

54%

Péter Magyar

47%

Viktor Orbán

<1%

Klára Dobrev

<1%

László Toroczkai

57%

TISZA

42%

Fidesz

1%

Momentum

<1%

DK

40%

Abelardo de la Espriella

37%

Iván Cepeda Castro

14%

Paloma Valencia

6%

Sergio Fajardo (DC)

57%

Chong Won-oh

28%

Oh Se-hoon

8%

Na Kyung-won

6%

Park Ju-min

91%

Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

8%

People Power Party (PPP)

<1%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)

<1%

Progressive Party (PP)

31%

Kim Jin-tae

5%

Kim Wan-seop

<1%

Lee Chul-gyu

<1%

Kweon Seong-dong

84%

Park Chan-dae

8%

Yoo Jeong-bok

4%

Park Nam-choon

4%

Kim Kyo-heung

53%

Choo Mi-ae

39%

Kim Dong-yeon

7%

Yoo Seong-min

2%

Han Jun-ho

49%

Chun Jae-soo

33%

Park Heong-joon

<1%

Kim Do-eup

9%

Cho Kuk

38%

Moon Jin-seok

37%

Park Soo-hyun

36%

Kang Hoon-sik

34%

Yoon Sang-hyun

27%

Cho Gil-hyeong

<1%

Song Ki-sub

22%

Shin Yong-han

4%

Kim Young-hwan

71%

Civil Contract

18%

Armenia Alliance

4%

Orinats Yerkir

4%

I Have Honor Alliance

92%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

8%

Sweden Democrats (SD)

<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)

<1%

Moderate Party (M)

41%

JV

29%

LPV

24%

NA

11%

SV

53%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

16%

Flávio Bolsonaro

16%

Tarcisio de Freitas

7%

Renan Santos

70%

PQ

18%

PLQ

13%

CAQ

<1%

PCQ

78%

Democratic Party

23%

Republican Party

66%

Republican Party

35%

Democratic Party

88%

Kuomintang (KMT)

13%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

2%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

34%

Gavin Newsom

11%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

7%

Josh Shapiro

5%

Pete Buttigieg

52%

J.D. Vance

16%

Marco Rubio

3%

Donald Trump

3%

Ron DeSantis

27%

JD Vance

19%

Gavin Newsom

10%

Marco Rubio

8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

74%

António José Seguro (IND)

17%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

6%

André Ventura (CH)

4%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

60%

People’s Party (PPLE)

39%

Bhumjaithai Party (BJT)

3%

Pheu Thai Party (PT)

<1%

Democrat Party (DP)

82%

United Russia (ER)

10%

New People (NL)

5%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

2%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

<1%

<12%

2%

12%-14%

10%

14%-16%

8%

16%-18%

47%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

20%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

14%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

7%

António José Seguro (IND)

44%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

19%

António José Seguro (IND)

14%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

14%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

4%

<16%

3%

16%-18%

11%

18%-20%

20%

20%-22%

2%

Mendes 6%+

<1%

Mendes 4-6%

<1%

Mendes 2-4%

1%

Mendes <2%

65%

<16%

16%

16%-18%

8%

18%-20%

5%

20%-22%

13%

<12%

21%

12%-14%

22%

14%-16%

22%

16%-18%

87%

BJP

5%

INC

2%

AITC

2%

CPI(M)

4%

<10%

3%

10%-12%

9%

12%-14%

17%

14%-16%

97%

United Russia (ER)

1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

1%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

<1%

Civic Platform (GP)

41%

Óscar Sogliano

39%

Waldo Albarracín

39%

Carlos Eduardo Palenque

36%

Iván Arias

49%

Manuel Saavedra

18%

Angélica Sosa

18%

Ingrid Rosario Schamisseddine

18%

Jhonny Fernández

70%

INC

28%

CPI(M)

1%

KEC(M)

<1%

BSP

75%

DMK

26%

ADMK

3%

NCP

6%

INC

5%

<10

7%

10–12

22%

13–15

37%

16–18

62%

AINRC

13%

INC

6%

DMK

10%

ADMK

51%

AITC

40%

BJP

9%

INC

6%

CPI

48%

Cristian Sanabria

48%

Juan Antonio Jesús

48%

Cecilia Calani

46%

Franz Tata García