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Uganda Presidential Election

Market icon

Uganda Presidential Election

Yoweri Kaguta Museveni 100.0%

Joseph Mabirizi  <1%

Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera <1%

Munyagwa Mubarak Sserunga <1%

Polymarket

$297,749 Vol.

Yoweri Kaguta Museveni 100.0%

Joseph Mabirizi  <1%

Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera <1%

Munyagwa Mubarak Sserunga <1%

Polymarket

$297,749 Vol.

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Yoweri Kaguta Museveni

$72,245 Vol.

Yes

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Joseph Mabirizi

$25,537 Vol.

No

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Gregory Mugisha Muntuyera

$31,509 Vol.

No

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Munyagwa Mubarak Sserunga

$20,625 Vol.

No

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Robert Kasibante

$27,003 Vol.

No

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Nathan James Nandala Mafabi

$37,339 Vol.

No

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Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu

$59,083 Vol.

No

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Bulira Frank Kabinga

$24,407 Vol.

No

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Uganda on January 15, 2026. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ugandan Government, specifically the Ugandan Electoral Commission (https://www.ec.or.ug/).
Volume
$297,749
End Date
Jan 15, 2026
Created At
Nov 17, 2025, 12:52 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Uganda on January 15, 2026. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled. This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ugandan Government, specifically the Ugandan Electoral Commission (https://www.ec.or.ug/).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Uganda Presidential Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yoweri Kaguta Museveni" at 100%, followed by "Joseph Mabirizi " at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Uganda Presidential Election" has generated $297.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Uganda Presidential Election," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Uganda Presidential Election" is "Yoweri Kaguta Museveni" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joseph Mabirizi " at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Uganda Presidential Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.