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Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie

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Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie

Russie unie (ER) 95.6%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.3%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 1.1%

Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,747 Vol.

Russie unie (ER) 95.6%

Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF) 1.3%

Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR) 1.1%

Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP) 1.1%

Polymarket

$40,747 Vol.

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Russie unie (ER)

$13,000 Vol.

96%

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Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)

$8,725 Vol.

1%

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Parti libéral-démocrate de Russie (LDPR)

$2,602 Vol.

1%

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Russie juste – Pour la vérité (SRZP)

$2,308 Vol.

1%

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Plateforme Civique (GP)

$7,446 Vol.

1%

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Nouvelles Personnes (NL)

$3,692 Vol.

1%

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Rodina

$2,973 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$40,747
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Russie unie (ER)" at 96%, followed by "Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie" is "Russie unie (ER)" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Parti communiste de la Fédération de Russie (KPRF)" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vainqueur des élections parlementaires en Russie" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.