Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his incumbency advantage as heir apparent in a Trump administration alongside Newsom's emergence as the Democratic frontrunner amid party fragmentation post-2024. Recent UMass Lowell polling from late March showed Vance edging Newsom 33%-30% in a hypothetical matchup, but Vance's support has slipped among working-class Republicans and in prediction markets due to Middle East escalations, including Iran tensions, weighing on GOP prospects ahead of 2026 midterms. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has surged to third on strong foreign policy showings, like Venezuela developments. The tight race persists in this pre-primary phase, with midterm outcomes, national polling trends, and primary endorsements poised to create separation by clarifying paths to nomination and Electoral College viability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028
Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.3%
$531,311,555 Vol.
$531,311,555 Vol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Kamala Harris
5%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Titre du groupe d'éléments : Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
LeBron James
1%
JD Vance 19.1%
Gavin Newsom 17.1%
Marco Rubio 11.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.3%
$531,311,555 Vol.
$531,311,555 Vol.
JD Vance
19%
Gavin Newsom
17%
Marco Rubio
12%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Kamala Harris
5%
Jon Ossoff
4%
Josh Shapiro
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Pete Buttigieg
2%
Tucker Carlson
2%
Ron DeSantis
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Andy Beshear
1%
JB Pritzker
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
Glenn Youngkin
1%
Thomas Massie
1%
James Talarico
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Stephen Smith
1%
Titre du groupe d'éléments : Greg Abbott
1%
Michelle Obama
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Jamie Dimon
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Ro Khanna
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Zohran Mamdani
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Tim Walz
1%
Wes Moore
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
LeBron James
1%
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election, reflecting his incumbency advantage as heir apparent in a Trump administration alongside Newsom's emergence as the Democratic frontrunner amid party fragmentation post-2024. Recent UMass Lowell polling from late March showed Vance edging Newsom 33%-30% in a hypothetical matchup, but Vance's support has slipped among working-class Republicans and in prediction markets due to Middle East escalations, including Iran tensions, weighing on GOP prospects ahead of 2026 midterms. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has surged to third on strong foreign policy showings, like Venezuela developments. The tight race persists in this pre-primary phase, with midterm outcomes, national polling trends, and primary endorsements poised to create separation by clarifying paths to nomination and Electoral College viability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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