Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLeader vénézuélien fin 2026 ?
Leader vénézuélien fin 2026 ?
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.7%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.1%
$77,927,322 Vol.
$77,927,322 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
66%
Nicolás Maduro
17%
María Corina Machado
12%
Edmundo González
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pas de chef d'État
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 16.7%
María Corina Machado 12%
Edmundo González 1.1%
$77,927,322 Vol.
$77,927,322 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,251,021 Vol.
66%
Nicolás Maduro
$878,765 Vol.
17%
María Corina Machado
$838,238 Vol.
12%
Edmundo González
$419,784 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,245,439 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$686,636 Vol.
1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$447,843 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$863,064 Vol.
<1%
Pas de chef d'État
$739,150 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$651,785 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,057,778 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,143,006 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$24,625,746 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$2,739,965 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$1,959,274 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$30,379,943 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$77,927,322Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$77,927,322Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vice President Delcy Rodríguez leads trader consensus at 65.5% as Venezuela's likely head of state by end-2026, driven by President Nicolás Maduro's January 10 inauguration solidifying Chavista control despite international skepticism and opposition boycotts. Military loyalty to the regime, suppression of post-July 2024 election protests, and Edmundo González's exile to Spain have weakened challengers, elevating Rodríguez's profile as a powerful heir apparent amid her oversight of key institutions like PDVSA. Maduro trails at 16.4% on expectations of a potential managed transition before his term ends in 2031, while María Corina Machado's 12.5% reflects resilient opposition sentiment but faces institutional barriers. Incoming U.S. sanctions under Trump may pressure the government but have yet to dislodge it.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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