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Davos
Fed decision in January?
$444m Vol.
$11m today
$21m Liq.
1,369
Ends in 6 days
98%
No change
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$238m Vol.
$7m Liq.
610
Ends in 11 months
47%
Kevin Warsh
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$511m Vol.
$5m today
$24m Liq.
431
Ends in almost 3 years
35%
Gavin Newsom
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$23m Vol.
$1m Liq.
12%
Elon Musk # tweets January 16 - January 23, 2026?
$15m Vol.
$4m today
$2m Liq.
Ends in 1 day
26%
360-379
Elon Musk # tweets January 20 - January 27, 2026?
$9m Vol.
$3m today
Ends in 5 days
8%
300-319
US strikes Iran by...?
$75m Vol.
$497k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
60%
June 30
Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election
$7m Vol.
$209k Liq.
105
Ends in 3 days
91%
To Lam
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$206m Vol.
$2m today
$15m Liq.
583
27%
JD Vance
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$201m Vol.
$10m Liq.
229
52%
J.D. Vance
US next strikes Iran on...?
$12m Vol.
$382k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
81%
No strike by January 31
Elon Musk # tweets January 23 - January 30, 2026?
$2m Vol.
$1m today
$417k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
9%
440-459
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
$5m Vol.
$237k Liq.
128
34%
Portugal Presidential Election
$122m Vol.
$752k today
$5m Liq.
1,548
Ends in 17 days
97%
António José Seguro (IND)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
$19m Vol.
$747k today
$505k Liq.
2%
Who will Trump meet with in January?
$997k Vol.
$511k today
$63.4k Liq.
93%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Will Israel strike Lebanon on...?
$4m Vol.
$474k today
$24.7k Liq.
48%
January 30
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
$13m Vol.
$410k today
$119k Liq.
14%
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
$555k Vol.
$273k today
$84.9k Liq.
38
Ends in 10 days
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
$267k today
$158k Liq.
<1%
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