Trader consensus in the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 25.1% implied probability, propelled by his post-2024 election media blitz criticizing the Trump transition, national fundraising prowess, and term-limited executive profile positioning him for an early jump. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 8.3% share stems from progressive grassroots energy and viral appeal among younger voters, while Jon Ossoff's 6.9% highlights his battleground Georgia Senate incumbency and moderate messaging. Kamala Harris lags at 5% after her recent defeat. Key differentiators are Newsom's governance record, AOC's ideological mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability in a wide-open field. Support could consolidate via 2026 midterm successes, donor shifts, or emerging national polls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCandidat démocrate à la présidence 2028
Candidat démocrate à la présidence 2028
Gavin Newsom 25.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.9%
Kamala Harris 5.0%
$872,763,985 Vol.
$872,763,985 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
25%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
7%

Kamala Harris
5%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Liz Cheney
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Dwayne « The Rock » Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%
Gavin Newsom 25.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.9%
Kamala Harris 5.0%
$872,763,985 Vol.
$872,763,985 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
25%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
7%

Kamala Harris
5%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Jon Stewart
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Liz Cheney
1%

Michelle Obama
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Ro Khanna
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

Dwayne « The Rock » Johnson
1%

John Fetterman
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus in the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market favors California Governor Gavin Newsom at 25.1% implied probability, propelled by his post-2024 election media blitz criticizing the Trump transition, national fundraising prowess, and term-limited executive profile positioning him for an early jump. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's 8.3% share stems from progressive grassroots energy and viral appeal among younger voters, while Jon Ossoff's 6.9% highlights his battleground Georgia Senate incumbency and moderate messaging. Kamala Harris lags at 5% after her recent defeat. Key differentiators are Newsom's governance record, AOC's ideological mobilization, and Ossoff's swing-state viability in a wide-open field. Support could consolidate via 2026 midterm successes, donor shifts, or emerging national polls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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