Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections parlementaires hongroises
Vainqueur des élections parlementaires hongroises
TISZA 66%
Fidesz-KDNP 35%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$41,095,046 Vol.
$41,095,046 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
66%
Fidesz-KDNP
35%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 66%
Fidesz-KDNP 35%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$41,095,046 Vol.
$41,095,046 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$755,508 Vol.
66%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,047,106 Vol.
35%
Momentum
$546,177 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,087,723 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,691 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$459,808 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,086,484 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,786,550 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$41,095,046Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$41,095,046Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls have propelled TISZA, led by Péter Magyar, to the forefront of trader consensus for Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election, with implied probabilities reflecting its lead over Fidesz-KDNP amid economic discontent, inflation pressures, and scandals eroding Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's long-dominant ruling coalition. A November Medián survey showed TISZA at 44% and Fidesz at 36%, building on TISZA's strong 29% in June's European Parliament vote that narrowed Fidesz's traditional edge. Magyar's anti-corruption messaging resonates with voters frustrated by EU fund disputes and Ukraine policy isolation, though Hungary's mixed electoral system—combining single-member districts and proportional lists—could favor Fidesz's organizational strength in a fragmented opposition field. Upcoming local by-elections and 2025 municipal races may further test these trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes