Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage leads of 8–14 points in recent polls. The latest INSA survey (March 6–16, published March 17) shows AfD at 34% versus incumbent SPD's 26%, a slight narrowing from February's 37–23% gap (Forsa), yet SPD's decline from 39.6% in 2021 underscores voter shifts amid economic pressures and migration concerns in this eastern state. CDU trails at 12%, with Die Linke, Grüne, BSW around 5–10%, and FDP at 3%, limiting challengers. The governing SPD-Die Linke coalition polls below majority, but AfD's firewall exclusion by others does not affect its frontrunner status; late campaign dynamics or scandals could narrow odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection parlementaire Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale
Vainqueur de l'élection parlementaire Mecklembourg-Poméranie-Occidentale
AfD 85%
SPD 12%
CDU 1.2%
Linke 1.0%
$124,559 Vol.
$124,559 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
12%
CDU
1%
Linke
1%
Les Verts
1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 12%
CDU 1.2%
Linke 1.0%
$124,559 Vol.
$124,559 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$0 Vol.
85%
SPD
$32,358 Vol.
12%
CDU
$24,936 Vol.
1%
Linke
$0 Vol.
1%
Les Verts
$36,390 Vol.
1%
BSW
$0 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$30,875 Vol.
<1%
FW
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage leads of 8–14 points in recent polls. The latest INSA survey (March 6–16, published March 17) shows AfD at 34% versus incumbent SPD's 26%, a slight narrowing from February's 37–23% gap (Forsa), yet SPD's decline from 39.6% in 2021 underscores voter shifts amid economic pressures and migration concerns in this eastern state. CDU trails at 12%, with Die Linke, Grüne, BSW around 5–10%, and FDP at 3%, limiting challengers. The governing SPD-Die Linke coalition polls below majority, but AfD's firewall exclusion by others does not affect its frontrunner status; late campaign dynamics or scandals could narrow odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$124,559Date de fin
Sep 20, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage leads of 8–14 points in recent polls. The latest INSA survey (March 6–16, published March 17) shows AfD at 34% versus incumbent SPD's 26%, a slight narrowing from February's 37–23% gap (Forsa), yet SPD's decline from 39.6% in 2021 underscores voter shifts amid economic pressures and migration concerns in this eastern state. CDU trails at 12%, with Die Linke, Grüne, BSW around 5–10%, and FDP at 3%, limiting challengers. The governing SPD-Die Linke coalition polls below majority, but AfD's firewall exclusion by others does not affect its frontrunner status; late campaign dynamics or scandals could narrow odds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$124,559Date de fin
Sep 20, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors AfD as the leading party in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtagswahl on September 20, 2026, reflecting consistent Sonntagsfrage leads of 8–14 points in recent polls. The latest INSA survey (March 6–16, published March 17) shows AfD at 34% versus incumbent SPD's 26%, a slight narrowing from February's 37–23% gap (Forsa), yet SPD's decline from 39.6% in 2021 underscores voter shifts amid economic pressures and migration concerns in this eastern state. CDU trails at 12%, with Die Linke, Grüne, BSW around 5–10%, and FDP at 3%, limiting challengers. The governing SPD-Die Linke coalition polls below majority, but AfD's firewall exclusion by others does not affect its frontrunner status; late campaign dynamics or scandals could narrow odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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