Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPartido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 90.0%
Centro Democrático (CD) 8.5%
Parti de la U (La U) 3.2%
Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH) <1%
$447,489 Vol.
$447,489 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
90%
Centro Democrático (CD)
14%
Parti de la U (La U)
3%
Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH)
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservateur)
<1%
Alliance verte (AV)
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
<1%
Coalition MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
<1%
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) 90.0%
Centro Democrático (CD) 8.5%
Parti de la U (La U) 3.2%
Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH) <1%
$447,489 Vol.
$447,489 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$35,581 Vol.
90%
Centro Democrático (CD)
$30,707 Vol.
14%
Parti de la U (La U)
$373,370 Vol.
3%
Pacte historique pour la Colombie (PH)
$7,831 Vol.
1%
Partido Conservador Colombiano (Conservateur)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Alliance verte (AV)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Cambio Radical (CR)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Coalition MIRA-CJL (MIRA-CJL)
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$447,489Date de fin
Mar 8, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$447,489Date de fin
Mar 8, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) at 90% implied probability to finish third in national vote share or seats for Colombia's Chamber of Representatives election, reflecting consistent polling averages that place it behind leading conservative blocs like Partido Conservador Colombiano and Centro Democrático (CD) while ahead of smaller parties such as Partido de la U. Recent surveys from firms like Invamer and Cifras y Conceptos, including one released last week, show PLC maintaining 14-18% support amid President Petro's Historic Pact (PH) struggles and fragmentation among centro parties, bolstering its third-place lock under the proportional representation system by department. No major catalysts have shifted standings in the past 30 days; upcoming candidate lists and departmental primaries could test this, but traders see low risk of upset given PLC's organizational strength.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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