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LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine

icon for LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine

LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine

Blake Miguez 19%

Austin Magee 3.5%

Rick Edmonds 2.9%

Misti Cordell 2.2%

Polymarket

$43,008 Vol.

Blake Miguez 19%

Austin Magee 3.5%

Rick Edmonds 2.9%

Misti Cordell 2.2%

Polymarket

$43,008 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$21,694 Vol.

19%

Austin Magee

$1,283 Vol.

3%

Rick Edmonds

$1,281 Vol.

3%

Misti Cordell

$986 Vol.

2%

Michael Echols

$10,573 Vol.

2%

Michael Mebruer

$1,230 Vol.

1%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,961 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary amid a fragmented field of state legislators and local figures. His edge stems from a Trump endorsement labeling him a MAGA-aligned candidate, combined with dominant fundraising that reached $4 million cash on hand by mid-April, while recent polling showed him narrowly ahead of state Rep. Michael Echols. The wide-open race reflects multiple entrants with legislative or business backgrounds, limited name recognition outside their regions, and uncertainty after the U.S. Supreme Court ruling postponed the original May primary and altered district lines. Factors that could consolidate support include further endorsements, intensified campaign spending, or clearer signals on key issues such as fiscal policy and alignment with national Republican priorities ahead of the revised November timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,008
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary amid a fragmented field of state legislators and local figures. His edge stems from a Trump endorsement labeling him a MAGA-aligned candidate, combined with dominant fundraising that reached $4 million cash on hand by mid-April, while recent polling showed him narrowly ahead of state Rep. Michael Echols. The wide-open race reflects multiple entrants with legislative or business backgrounds, limited name recognition outside their regions, and uncertainty after the U.S. Supreme Court ruling postponed the original May primary and altered district lines. Factors that could consolidate support include further endorsements, intensified campaign spending, or clearer signals on key issues such as fiscal policy and alignment with national Republican priorities ahead of the revised November timeline.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$43,008
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Blake Miguez » à 19%, suivi de « Austin Magee » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 19¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 19% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » a généré $43K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 26, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » est « Blake Miguez » à 19%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 19% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Austin Magee » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « LA-05 Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.