Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 78.5% as the former U.S. representative who captured 40.3% in the May 19 primary, advancing to a June 16 runoff against state Rep. Rhett Marques at 5.5%. Recent federal court rulings on congressional maps revived those primary results and the runoff format rather than shifting to August special primaries, reinforcing Carl’s geographic and name-recognition advantages in the Mobile area. Minor candidates including Austin Sidwell, Joshua McKee, James Dees, James Richardson, and John Mills trail far behind with limited support in the initial balloting. Fundraising data and regional voting patterns further align with trader consensus on Carl’s frontrunner status ahead of the runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJerry Carl 79%
Rhett Marques 6%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
Joshua McKee 2.0%
$45,289 Vol.
$45,289 Vol.
Jerry Carl
79%
Rhett Marques
6%
Austin Sidwell
2%
Joshua McKee
2%
James Dees
2%
James Richardson
1%
John Mills
<1%
Jerry Carl 79%
Rhett Marques 6%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
Joshua McKee 2.0%
$45,289 Vol.
$45,289 Vol.
Jerry Carl
79%
Rhett Marques
6%
Austin Sidwell
2%
Joshua McKee
2%
James Dees
2%
James Richardson
1%
John Mills
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market at 78.5% as the former U.S. representative who captured 40.3% in the May 19 primary, advancing to a June 16 runoff against state Rep. Rhett Marques at 5.5%. Recent federal court rulings on congressional maps revived those primary results and the runoff format rather than shifting to August special primaries, reinforcing Carl’s geographic and name-recognition advantages in the Mobile area. Minor candidates including Austin Sidwell, Joshua McKee, James Dees, James Richardson, and John Mills trail far behind with limited support in the initial balloting. Fundraising data and regional voting patterns further align with trader consensus on Carl’s frontrunner status ahead of the runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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