Haiti's transitional government faces persistent security shortfalls and institutional hurdles that keep the probability of further election delays near even. Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé stated in mid-May that conditions remain inadequate for the scheduled August 30 first-round vote, following the April postponement of voter registration with no revised timeline issued. Proposed revisions to the electoral decree have drawn criticism from political parties and civil society for expanding executive influence over the Provisional Electoral Council and raising participation barriers, prompting accusations that the changes complicate or block timely polls. Ongoing gang violence and funding shortfalls continue to constrain preparations, while officials maintain plans to install elected leaders by early 2027, leaving traders balanced between evidence of repeated slippage and commitments to complete the process within the current calendar window.