Trader consensus strongly favors Chong Won-oh at 79% for the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election winner, driven by the Democratic Party's commanding supermajority from the April 2024 National Assembly elections, where they secured 175 seats amid widespread voter discontent with the ruling People Power Party over economic pressures and scandals. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the PPP trades at 13%, buoyed by his 2022 re-election victory but hampered by his party's national losses and speculation over a potential national politics pivot. Park Ju-min at 7% reflects secondary Democratic momentum from early informal polling. Absent recent candidate announcements or primaries—expected in mid-2026—odds hinge on partisan trends and Seoul's battleground status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul
Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de 2026 à Séoul
Chong Won-oh 79%
Oh Se-hoon 13%
Park Ju-min 6.8%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$7,154,177 Vol.
$7,154,177 Vol.

Chong Won-oh
79%

Oh Se-hoon
13%

Park Ju-min
7%

Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%

Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%

Cho Eun-hee
<1%

Park Yong-jin
<1%

Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%

Cho Kuk
<1%

Kang Hoon-sik
<1%

Na Kyung-won
<1%

Han Dong-hoon
<1%

Park Hong-keun
<1%

Seo Young-kyo
<1%
Chong Won-oh 79%
Oh Se-hoon 13%
Park Ju-min 6.8%
Ahn Cheol-soo <1%
$7,154,177 Vol.
$7,154,177 Vol.

Chong Won-oh
79%

Oh Se-hoon
13%

Park Ju-min
7%

Ahn Cheol-soo
<1%

Jeon Hyun-heui
<1%

Cho Eun-hee
<1%

Park Yong-jin
<1%

Hong Ihk-pyo
<1%

Cho Kuk
<1%

Kang Hoon-sik
<1%

Na Kyung-won
<1%

Han Dong-hoon
<1%

Park Hong-keun
<1%

Seo Young-kyo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors Chong Won-oh at 79% for the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election winner, driven by the Democratic Party's commanding supermajority from the April 2024 National Assembly elections, where they secured 175 seats amid widespread voter discontent with the ruling People Power Party over economic pressures and scandals. Incumbent Oh Se-hoon of the PPP trades at 13%, buoyed by his 2022 re-election victory but hampered by his party's national losses and speculation over a potential national politics pivot. Park Ju-min at 7% reflects secondary Democratic momentum from early informal polling. Absent recent candidate announcements or primaries—expected in mid-2026—odds hinge on partisan trends and Seoul's battleground status.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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