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icon for Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?
Élections·Sénat

Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?

icon for Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?
Élections·Sénat

Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ?

Chuck Schumer 26%

John Thune 21%

Tom Cotton 17.7%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$62,573 Vol.

Chuck Schumer 26%

John Thune 21%

Tom Cotton 17.7%

Brian Schatz 10%

Polymarket

$62,573 Vol.

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$7,827 Vol.

26%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$2,183 Vol.

21%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$5,523 Vol.

18%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,262 Vol.

10%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$2,953 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$2,839 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$21,497 Vol.

4%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$2,022 Vol.

3%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$2,394 Vol.

3%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$2,040 Vol.

2%

icon for Lindsey Graham

Lindsey Graham

$11,032 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin battle for Senate control in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority amid a competitive map featuring battlegrounds like North Carolina, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas. Chuck Schumer tops odds as Democrats' entrenched minority leader, favored if his party flips 3-4 seats through polling leads in vulnerable GOP holds, bolstered by recent forecasts showing a 50-50 split. John Thune trails closely as incumbent majority leader, while Tom Cotton rises as a GOP caucus challenger leveraging visibility in budget fights. Recent polling volatility—GOP edging back to 51% control per averages—keeps the race tight; retirements by 11 incumbents, primaries starting summer 2026, and economic shifts could tip party control and leadership elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$62,573
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin battle for Senate control in the 2026 midterms, with Republicans defending a 53-47 majority amid a competitive map featuring battlegrounds like North Carolina, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas. Chuck Schumer tops odds as Democrats' entrenched minority leader, favored if his party flips 3-4 seats through polling leads in vulnerable GOP holds, bolstered by recent forecasts showing a 50-50 split. John Thune trails closely as incumbent majority leader, while Tom Cotton rises as a GOP caucus challenger leveraging visibility in budget fights. Recent polling volatility—GOP edging back to 51% control per averages—keeps the race tight; retirements by 11 incumbents, primaries starting summer 2026, and economic shifts could tip party control and leadership elections.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Volume
$62,573
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chuck Schumer » à 26%, suivi de « John Thune » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » a généré $62.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » est « Chuck Schumer » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « John Thune » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain chef de la majorité au Sénat ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.