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Politique·Trump

Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ?

$550,758 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$550,758 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars 2026

$30,604 Vol.

1%

31 décembre 2026

$4,180 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront intensifying pressure from President Trump and conservative allies to invoke the nuclear option—reinterpreting Senate Rule XXII via simple majority (51 votes) to reduce the 60-vote filibuster threshold for legislation—as Democrats block priorities like the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for voter registration and DHS funding bills amid shutdown risks. Mid-March 2026 reports highlighted GOP considerations for the voter bill, with Trump reiterating calls on March 26, yet Majority Leader John Thune affirmed insufficient conference support in February, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control post-2026 midterms. No such procedural change has occurred in the past 30 days, sustaining trader consensus on low near-term odds while pricing higher potential by year-end amid escalating partisan gridlock and funding deadlines.

Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront intensifying pressure from President Trump and conservative allies to invoke the nuclear option—reinterpreting Senate Rule XXII via simple majority (51 votes) to reduce the 60-vote filibuster threshold for legislation—as Democrats block priorities like the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for voter registration and DHS funding bills amid shutdown risks. Mid-March 2026 reports highlighted GOP considerations for the voter bill, with Trump reiterating calls on March 26, yet Majority Leader John Thune affirmed insufficient conference support in February, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control post-2026 midterms. No such procedural change has occurred in the past 30 days, sustaining trader consensus on low near-term odds while pricing higher potential by year-end amid escalating partisan gridlock and funding deadlines.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront intensifying pressure from President Trump and conservative allies to invoke the nuclear option—reinterpreting Senate Rule XXII via simple majority (51 votes) to reduce the 60-vote filibuster threshold for legislation—as Democrats block priorities like the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for voter registration and DHS funding bills amid shutdown risks. Mid-March 2026 reports highlighted GOP considerations for the voter bill, with Trump reiterating calls on March 26, yet Majority Leader John Thune affirmed insufficient conference support in February, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control post-2026 midterms. No such procedural change has occurred in the past 30 days, sustaining trader consensus on low near-term odds while pricing higher potential by year-end amid escalating partisan gridlock and funding deadlines.

Senate Republicans, holding a slim majority, confront intensifying pressure from President Trump and conservative allies to invoke the nuclear option—reinterpreting Senate Rule XXII via simple majority (51 votes) to reduce the 60-vote filibuster threshold for legislation—as Democrats block priorities like the SAVE America Act mandating proof of citizenship for voter registration and DHS funding bills amid shutdown risks. Mid-March 2026 reports highlighted GOP considerations for the voter bill, with Trump reiterating calls on March 26, yet Majority Leader John Thune affirmed insufficient conference support in February, citing long-term risks if Democrats regain control post-2026 midterms. No such procedural change has occurred in the past 30 days, sustaining trader consensus on low near-term odds while pricing higher potential by year-end amid escalating partisan gridlock and funding deadlines.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 51%, suivi de « 31 mars 2026 » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 51¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ? » a généré $550.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 1, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le GOP utilisera-t-il « l'option nucléaire » pour briser le flibustier d'ici... ? » est « 31 décembre 2026 » à 51%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 51% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars 2026 » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

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