Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
Réunion diplomatique entre les États-Unis et l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$10,778,621 Vol.
31 mars 2026
15 mars
Non
31 mars
Non
10 avril
Non
11 avril
Oui
12 avril
Oui
13 avril
Oui
14 avril
Oui
15 avril
Oui
30 avril
Oui
31 mai
Oui
15 juin
Oui
30 juin
Oui
$10,778,621 Vol.
15 mars
$245,591 Vol.
Non
31 mars
$739,420 Vol.
Non
10 avril
$7,115,645 Vol.
Non
11 avril
$587,177 Vol.
Oui
12 avril
$70,246 Vol.
Oui
13 avril
$32,638 Vol.
Oui
14 avril
$24,118 Vol.
Oui
15 avril
$719,631 Vol.
Oui
30 avril
$946,176 Vol.
Oui
31 mai
$53,709 Vol.
Oui
15 juin
$46,741 Vol.
Oui
30 juin
$197,530 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$10,778,621Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,778,621Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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