Despite intense US military airstrikes on Iranian targets since February 28, 2026—coordinated with Israel and justified by President Trump as addressing imminent threats—no formal congressional declaration of war has materialized, as required by Article 1 of the Constitution. Congressional Democrats are advancing war powers resolutions to curb operations, citing lack of authorization, while Republicans defend actions under existing AUMFs; a House resolution recently failed amid shifting support. Trump recently stated core objectives are "nearing completion," signaling potential de-escalation without ground invasion or full commitment. Traders weigh historical rarity of declarations (none since World War II), ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Iranian retaliatory strikes as low-probability catalysts for formal war votes before the market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$5,192,975 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
30 avril
1%
31 décembre
8%
$5,192,975 Vol.
30 avril
$313,608 Vol.
1%
31 décembre
$328,209 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite intense US military airstrikes on Iranian targets since February 28, 2026—coordinated with Israel and justified by President Trump as addressing imminent threats—no formal congressional declaration of war has materialized, as required by Article 1 of the Constitution. Congressional Democrats are advancing war powers resolutions to curb operations, citing lack of authorization, while Republicans defend actions under existing AUMFs; a House resolution recently failed amid shifting support. Trump recently stated core objectives are "nearing completion," signaling potential de-escalation without ground invasion or full commitment. Traders weigh historical rarity of declarations (none since World War II), ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Iranian retaliatory strikes as low-probability catalysts for formal war votes before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,192,975Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Despite intense US military airstrikes on Iranian targets since February 28, 2026—coordinated with Israel and justified by President Trump as addressing imminent threats—no formal congressional declaration of war has materialized, as required by Article 1 of the Constitution. Congressional Democrats are advancing war powers resolutions to curb operations, citing lack of authorization, while Republicans defend actions under existing AUMFs; a House resolution recently failed amid shifting support. Trump recently stated core objectives are "nearing completion," signaling potential de-escalation without ground invasion or full commitment. Traders weigh historical rarity of declarations (none since World War II), ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Iranian retaliatory strikes as low-probability catalysts for formal war votes before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,192,975Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite intense US military airstrikes on Iranian targets since February 28, 2026—coordinated with Israel and justified by President Trump as addressing imminent threats—no formal congressional declaration of war has materialized, as required by Article 1 of the Constitution. Congressional Democrats are advancing war powers resolutions to curb operations, citing lack of authorization, while Republicans defend actions under existing AUMFs; a House resolution recently failed amid shifting support. Trump recently stated core objectives are "nearing completion," signaling potential de-escalation without ground invasion or full commitment. Traders weigh historical rarity of declarations (none since World War II), ongoing Strait of Hormuz tensions, and Iranian retaliatory strikes as low-probability catalysts for formal war votes before the market deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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