US and Israeli forces initiated large-scale airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear facilities on February 28, 2026, marking the start of sustained military operations amid heightened tensions over proxy attacks and regional threats. President Trump has labeled the campaign a "war" and issued ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation, while US searches continue for a missing F-15 crew member after recent strikes like the April 2 B1 Bridge hit. No formal congressional declaration of war—requiring joint resolution under Article I—has occurred, with actions proceeding via Article II powers and prior AUMFs. Debates rage over War Powers Resolution limits, including failed Senate efforts to curb operations and proposals for new authorization votes, amid historical reluctance for declarations since 1942. Traders eye congressional hearings and escalation signals as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
Les États-Unis déclareront-ils officiellement la guerre à l'Iran d'ici... ?
$5,308,515 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
30 avril
1%
31 décembre
8%
$5,308,515 Vol.
30 avril
$410,922 Vol.
1%
31 décembre
$346,435 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated large-scale airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear facilities on February 28, 2026, marking the start of sustained military operations amid heightened tensions over proxy attacks and regional threats. President Trump has labeled the campaign a "war" and issued ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation, while US searches continue for a missing F-15 crew member after recent strikes like the April 2 B1 Bridge hit. No formal congressional declaration of war—requiring joint resolution under Article I—has occurred, with actions proceeding via Article II powers and prior AUMFs. Debates rage over War Powers Resolution limits, including failed Senate efforts to curb operations and proposals for new authorization votes, amid historical reluctance for declarations since 1942. Traders eye congressional hearings and escalation signals as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,308,515Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated large-scale airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear facilities on February 28, 2026, marking the start of sustained military operations amid heightened tensions over proxy attacks and regional threats. President Trump has labeled the campaign a "war" and issued ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation, while US searches continue for a missing F-15 crew member after recent strikes like the April 2 B1 Bridge hit. No formal congressional declaration of war—requiring joint resolution under Article I—has occurred, with actions proceeding via Article II powers and prior AUMFs. Debates rage over War Powers Resolution limits, including failed Senate efforts to curb operations and proposals for new authorization votes, amid historical reluctance for declarations since 1942. Traders eye congressional hearings and escalation signals as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$5,308,515Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli forces initiated large-scale airstrikes on Iranian missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear facilities on February 28, 2026, marking the start of sustained military operations amid heightened tensions over proxy attacks and regional threats. President Trump has labeled the campaign a "war" and issued ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, prompting Iranian vows of retaliation, while US searches continue for a missing F-15 crew member after recent strikes like the April 2 B1 Bridge hit. No formal congressional declaration of war—requiring joint resolution under Article I—has occurred, with actions proceeding via Article II powers and prior AUMFs. Debates rage over War Powers Resolution limits, including failed Senate efforts to curb operations and proposals for new authorization votes, amid historical reluctance for declarations since 1942. Traders eye congressional hearings and escalation signals as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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