Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

44%

Kevin Warsh

$242m Vol.

$10m today

$7m Liq.

619

Ends in 11 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

16%

$10m Vol.

$682k today

$382k Liq.

20,361

Ends in 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

16%

December 31

$13m Vol.

$56.4k today

$138k Liq.

1,191

Ends in 2 months

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Trump

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

56%

<$100b

$3m Vol.

$52.2k today

$113k Liq.

310

Ends in about 1 month

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

30%

Pam Bondi

$1m Vol.

$121k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

$4m Vol.

$29.4k Liq.

288

Ends in 11 months

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US forces enter Venezuela again by...?

24%

June 30

$1m Vol.

$26.9k Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

52%

June 30

$2m Vol.

$24.5k Liq.

259

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

How many people will Trump deport in 2025?

88%

250-500k

$5m Vol.

$78.7k Liq.

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

Trump Presidency

Politics

When will Congress pass the next funding bill?

39%

No Bill passed by Jan 31

$6.4k Vol.

$12.3k Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$15.9k Liq.

40

Ends in about 1 month

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

15%

$351k Vol.

$35.9k Liq.

22

Ends in 11 months

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

42%

No meeting by June 30

$503k Vol.

$50.5k Liq.

12

Ends in 5 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

75%

April 30, 2026

$961k Vol.

$22.9k Liq.

32

Ends in 3 months

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?

1%

$134k Vol.

$11.6k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

Trump Presidency

Trump

Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?

87%

Donald Trump

$72.4k Vol.

$64.3k Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

3%

February 28, 2026

$10m Vol.

$5.1k Liq.

1,096

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.9k Vol.

$86.4k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

US x Russia military clash by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

US x Russia military clash by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$531k Vol.

$24.0k Liq.

12

Ends in 11 months

Trump cabinet member out by...?

Trump Presidency

Politics

Trump cabinet member out by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$97.9k Vol.

$3.4k Liq.

14

Ends in 11 months