Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Trump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
$53,837 Vol.
$53,837 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
Oui
$53,837 Vol.
$53,837 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$53,837Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$53,837Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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