Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?
Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?
$247,494 Vol.

30 avril
Oui

May 31
Yes

June 30
Yes
$247,494 Vol.

30 avril
Oui

May 31
Yes

June 30
Yes
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Contesté
Résultat proposé: Oui
Contesté
Résultat final: Oui
Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.
An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.
“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.
General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.
The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Contesté
Résultat proposé: Oui
Contesté
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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