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icon for Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?

Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?

icon for Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?

Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ?

$247,494 Vol.

30 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$247,494 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 30 avril

30 avril

$120,301 Vol.

Oui

icon for May 31

May 31

$76,281 Vol.

Yes

icon for June 30

June 30

$50,911 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose. An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice. “Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice. The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.

An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.

“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.

General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$247,494
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose. An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice. “Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice. The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat final: Oui

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose. An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice. “Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice. The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic providing its advanced Claude Mythos AI model—optimized for discovering zero-day vulnerabilities and cybersecurity analysis—to the US government by June 30, driven by recent reports of the National Security Agency already testing it on major software despite ongoing Pentagon disputes and prior blacklisting. The White House has moved to authorize federal agency access, prioritizing government use amid concerns over compute scarcity and strategic risks, even as Anthropic limits Mythos Preview to about 50 vetted organizations. This shift follows Anthropic's early April preview release highlighting its "step-change" capabilities, overriding ethical contract refusals from earlier 2026. Key catalysts ahead include potential formal agreements or expanded clearances before the deadline, though regulatory hurdles or bandwidth limits could delay full deployment.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose.

An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice.

“Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak.

General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice.

The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$247,494
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 17, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic grants the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos (including Mythos Preview) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Granting access to Claude Mythos refers to Anthropic allowing any department, agency, or subset of the United States federal government to use Claude Mythos for any purpose. An official announcement from either Anthropic or the United States federal government, that Anthropic has agreed to grant the United States federal government access to Claude Mythos, will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether access begins after the resolution date. Suggestions, negotiations, or other statements that do not constitute granting access will not qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Anthropic has agreed to grant access to Claude Mythos to the United States federal government will also suffice. “Claude Mythos” refers to a model named “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos Preview, Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos X) or a model confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model referenced in the March 26, 2026 leak. Models such as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not qualify unless explicitly confirmed to be the same model referenced in the leak. General public availability of a Claude Mythos model without a qualifying announcement or confirmation of access being granted will not alone suffice. The primary resolution sources will be official information from Anthropic and the United States federal government, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Oui

Contesté

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 avril » à 100%, suivi de « May 31 » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ? » a généré $247.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ? » est « 30 avril » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « May 31 » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Anthropic fournira-t-il Mythos au gouvernement américain d'ici... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.