President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump annonce la fin des opérations militaires contre l'Iran d'ici … ?
Trump annonce la fin des opérations militaires contre l'Iran d'ici … ?
$44,722,907 Vol.
31 mars 2026
1er mars
Non
2 mars
Non
7 mars
Non
15 mars
Non
31 mars
Non
7 avril
Non
15 avril
Non
21 avril
Non
24 avril
Non
30 avril
Non
31 mai
Oui
30 juin
Oui
$44,722,907 Vol.
1er mars
$62,834 Vol.
Non
2 mars
$128,313 Vol.
Non
7 mars
$0 Vol.
Non
15 mars
$0 Vol.
Non
31 mars
$5,173,902 Vol.
Non
7 avril
$3,147,132 Vol.
Non
15 avril
$9,488,906 Vol.
Non
21 avril
$4,913,838 Vol.
Non
24 avril
$924,036 Vol.
Non
30 avril
$13,050,669 Vol.
Non
31 mai
$4,090,017 Vol.
Oui
30 juin
$3,743,260 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
Volume
$44,722,907Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,722,907Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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