$1,324,175 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Arabie saoudite
57%
Émirats arabes unis
38%
Qatar
36%
Any E.U. Country
22%
Bahreïn
21%
Royaume-Uni
14%
France
12%
Jordanie
12%
Koweït
12%
Allemagne
7%
Turquie
6%
Oman
6%
Canada
3%
$1,324,175 Vol.
Arabie saoudite
$263,878 Vol.
57%
Émirats arabes unis
$152,422 Vol.
38%
Qatar
$82,082 Vol.
36%
Any E.U. Country
$12,780 Vol.
22%
Bahreïn
$26,133 Vol.
21%
Royaume-Uni
$235,359 Vol.
14%
France
$145,300 Vol.
12%
Jordanie
$62,033 Vol.
12%
Koweït
$1,726 Vol.
12%
Allemagne
$274,912 Vol.
7%
Turquie
$40,083 Vol.
6%
Oman
$2,246 Vol.
6%
Canada
$25,222 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volume
$1,324,175Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Créé le
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...
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