Amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran declared the critical waterway closed hours ago in retaliation for a US naval blockade enforcing restrictions on Iranian shipping, with vessels reporting fire from Iranian forces as recently as yesterday. This unfolds against the backdrop of ongoing US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since late February 2026, when Israel launched attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, prompting Iranian counterstrikes and regional reinforcements including over 10,000 additional US troops and carriers like the USS George H.W. Bush. An Israel-Lebanon ceasefire this week has freed resources, while Pentagon buildups signal potential ground operations; diplomatic talks continue but face doubts as trader consensus weighs sustained Western military action through April 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuels pays mèneront une action militaire contre l'Iran d'ici le 30 avril ?
Quels pays mèneront une action militaire contre l'Iran d'ici le 30 avril ?
$2,919,043 Vol.
Émirats arabes unis
7%
Arabie saoudite
5%
Koweït
2%
Qatar
2%
Turquie
1%
Jordanie
1%
Tout pays de l'UE
1%
Oman
1%
Bahreïn
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
France
1%
Allemagne
<1%
Canada
<1%
$2,919,043 Vol.
Émirats arabes unis
7%
Arabie saoudite
5%
Koweït
2%
Qatar
2%
Turquie
1%
Jordanie
1%
Tout pays de l'UE
1%
Oman
1%
Bahreïn
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
France
1%
Allemagne
<1%
Canada
<1%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Iran declared the critical waterway closed hours ago in retaliation for a US naval blockade enforcing restrictions on Iranian shipping, with vessels reporting fire from Iranian forces as recently as yesterday. This unfolds against the backdrop of ongoing US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran since late February 2026, when Israel launched attacks killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and top officials, prompting Iranian counterstrikes and regional reinforcements including over 10,000 additional US troops and carriers like the USS George H.W. Bush. An Israel-Lebanon ceasefire this week has freed resources, while Pentagon buildups signal potential ground operations; diplomatic talks continue but face doubts as trader consensus weighs sustained Western military action through April 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes