Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on April 23 that forces stand ready to resume large-scale military operations against Iran, targeting energy and economic infrastructure in strikes described as "deadlier" than prior actions, pending U.S. approval amid stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks that prompted protests in Tel Aviv. This follows a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed April 8 after U.S.-Israeli airstrikes began February 28, including attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and steel plants in late March, and an Iranian missile strike on Haifa April 6 that killed four. Hezbollah truce violations and Iran's April 6 ceasefire rejection heighten escalation risks, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over U.S. diplomatic signals and potential regime-targeting operations before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAction militaire d'Israël contre l'Iran par... ?
Action militaire d'Israël contre l'Iran par... ?
$3,176,657 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
14 avril
Non
21 avril
Non
$3,176,657 Vol.
14 avril
$1,272,850 Vol.
Non
21 avril
$1,903,806 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on April 23 that forces stand ready to resume large-scale military operations against Iran, targeting energy and economic infrastructure in strikes described as "deadlier" than prior actions, pending U.S. approval amid stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks that prompted protests in Tel Aviv. This follows a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed April 8 after U.S.-Israeli airstrikes began February 28, including attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and steel plants in late March, and an Iranian missile strike on Haifa April 6 that killed four. Hezbollah truce violations and Iran's April 6 ceasefire rejection heighten escalation risks, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over U.S. diplomatic signals and potential regime-targeting operations before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ET
Volume
$3,176,657Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on April 23 that forces stand ready to resume large-scale military operations against Iran, targeting energy and economic infrastructure in strikes described as "deadlier" than prior actions, pending U.S. approval amid stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks that prompted protests in Tel Aviv. This follows a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed April 8 after U.S.-Israeli airstrikes began February 28, including attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and steel plants in late March, and an Iranian missile strike on Haifa April 6 that killed four. Hezbollah truce violations and Iran's April 6 ceasefire rejection heighten escalation risks, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over U.S. diplomatic signals and potential regime-targeting operations before any resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil between market creation and the listed date in Israel Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of Iran counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$3,176,657Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 11:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated on April 23 that forces stand ready to resume large-scale military operations against Iran, targeting energy and economic infrastructure in strikes described as "deadlier" than prior actions, pending U.S. approval amid stalled U.S.-Iran peace talks that prompted protests in Tel Aviv. This follows a fragile two-week ceasefire agreed April 8 after U.S.-Israeli airstrikes began February 28, including attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and steel plants in late March, and an Iranian missile strike on Haifa April 6 that killed four. Hezbollah truce violations and Iran's April 6 ceasefire rejection heighten escalation risks, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty over U.S. diplomatic signals and potential regime-targeting operations before any resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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