Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions. US-Israeli airstrikes since early March severely damaged key enrichment sites at Natanz and Fordow, with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stating on March 19 that Iran lacks capacity for uranium enrichment or ballistic missiles. The US presented a stringent 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding full nuclear dismantlement, a ban on domestic enrichment, and handover of enriched uranium stockpiles, which Iranian hardliners rejected amid calls for weapon development reported March 26. Prior indirect talks mediated by Oman in late February—where Iran reportedly offered zero accumulation and IAEA verification—collapsed post-strikes, underscoring barriers to any pre-April 30 accord.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 avril ?
L'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 avril ?
Oui
$132,567 Vol.
$132,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Oui
$132,567 Vol.
$132,567 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions. US-Israeli airstrikes since early March severely damaged key enrichment sites at Natanz and Fordow, with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stating on March 19 that Iran lacks capacity for uranium enrichment or ballistic missiles. The US presented a stringent 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding full nuclear dismantlement, a ban on domestic enrichment, and handover of enriched uranium stockpiles, which Iranian hardliners rejected amid calls for weapon development reported March 26. Prior indirect talks mediated by Oman in late February—where Iran reportedly offered zero accumulation and IAEA verification—collapsed post-strikes, underscoring barriers to any pre-April 30 accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$132,567Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions. US-Israeli airstrikes since early March severely damaged key enrichment sites at Natanz and Fordow, with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stating on March 19 that Iran lacks capacity for uranium enrichment or ballistic missiles. The US presented a stringent 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding full nuclear dismantlement, a ban on domestic enrichment, and handover of enriched uranium stockpiles, which Iranian hardliners rejected amid calls for weapon development reported March 26. Prior indirect talks mediated by Oman in late February—where Iran reportedly offered zero accumulation and IAEA verification—collapsed post-strikes, underscoring barriers to any pre-April 30 accord.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$132,567Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 82% for Iran agreeing to end uranium enrichment by April 30, reflecting stalled diplomacy amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions. US-Israeli airstrikes since early March severely damaged key enrichment sites at Natanz and Fordow, with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stating on March 19 that Iran lacks capacity for uranium enrichment or ballistic missiles. The US presented a stringent 15-point proposal on March 25 demanding full nuclear dismantlement, a ban on domestic enrichment, and handover of enriched uranium stockpiles, which Iranian hardliners rejected amid calls for weapon development reported March 26. Prior indirect talks mediated by Oman in late February—where Iran reportedly offered zero accumulation and IAEA verification—collapsed post-strikes, underscoring barriers to any pre-April 30 accord.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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