Israeli airstrikes on March 27 targeted key Iranian nuclear infrastructure, including sites tied to uranium enrichment and plutonium production, heightening escalation in the ongoing US-Iran conflict and solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" on Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by April 30. This follows a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding program dismantlement, handover of enriched uranium stocks, and zero enrichment—terms Iran has repeatedly rejected, as affirmed by recent statements insisting no force can halt activities. IAEA reports highlight ongoing verification challenges and unconfirmed suspension of enrichment, with prior indirect talks collapsing despite Omani mediation on stockpiling, amid military actions that dim prospects for diplomatic breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 avril ?
L'Iran accepte-t-il de mettre fin à l'enrichissement de l'uranium d'ici le 30 avril ?
Oui
$138,737 Vol.
$138,737 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
Oui
$138,737 Vol.
$138,737 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli airstrikes on March 27 targeted key Iranian nuclear infrastructure, including sites tied to uranium enrichment and plutonium production, heightening escalation in the ongoing US-Iran conflict and solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" on Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by April 30. This follows a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding program dismantlement, handover of enriched uranium stocks, and zero enrichment—terms Iran has repeatedly rejected, as affirmed by recent statements insisting no force can halt activities. IAEA reports highlight ongoing verification challenges and unconfirmed suspension of enrichment, with prior indirect talks collapsing despite Omani mediation on stockpiling, amid military actions that dim prospects for diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$138,737Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Israeli airstrikes on March 27 targeted key Iranian nuclear infrastructure, including sites tied to uranium enrichment and plutonium production, heightening escalation in the ongoing US-Iran conflict and solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" on Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by April 30. This follows a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding program dismantlement, handover of enriched uranium stocks, and zero enrichment—terms Iran has repeatedly rejected, as affirmed by recent statements insisting no force can halt activities. IAEA reports highlight ongoing verification challenges and unconfirmed suspension of enrichment, with prior indirect talks collapsing despite Omani mediation on stockpiling, amid military actions that dim prospects for diplomatic breakthrough.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$138,737Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 6, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli airstrikes on March 27 targeted key Iranian nuclear infrastructure, including sites tied to uranium enrichment and plutonium production, heightening escalation in the ongoing US-Iran conflict and solidifying trader consensus at 81.5% for "No" on Iran publicly agreeing to end all uranium enrichment by April 30. This follows a US 15-point proposal delivered March 25 demanding program dismantlement, handover of enriched uranium stocks, and zero enrichment—terms Iran has repeatedly rejected, as affirmed by recent statements insisting no force can halt activities. IAEA reports highlight ongoing verification challenges and unconfirmed suspension of enrichment, with prior indirect talks collapsing despite Omani mediation on stockpiling, amid military actions that dim prospects for diplomatic breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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