Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
JD Vance rencontre diplomatique avec l'Iran d'ici le... ?
$2,497,861 Vol.
30 avr. 2026
31 mars
Non
10 avril
Non
11 avril
Oui
12 avril
Oui
13 avril
Oui
14 avril
Oui
April 15
Yes
30 avril
Oui
$2,497,861 Vol.
31 mars
$159,049 Vol.
Non
10 avril
$1,347,701 Vol.
Non
11 avril
$137,436 Vol.
Oui
12 avril
$27,324 Vol.
Oui
13 avril
$20,539 Vol.
Oui
14 avril
$10,566 Vol.
Oui
April 15
$16,916 Vol.
Yes
30 avril
$778,330 Vol.
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volume
$2,497,861Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,497,861Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad, Pakistan, on April 11 to lead a US delegation in direct face-to-face negotiations with Iranian officials, including Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, aimed at solidifying a fragile two-week ceasefire amid US-Israel-Iran hostilities. Iran specifically requested Vance's involvement, citing distrust of other proposed US envoys like Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, marking a significant diplomatic breakthrough hosted by Pakistan. Traders should monitor ongoing talks this weekend for progress on de-escalation, potential sticking points like Iran's 10-point plan interpretations, and risks of breakdown from recent Strait of Hormuz tensions or military actions that could derail the process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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