US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad today for direct ceasefire negotiations with Iran, hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, marking the first high-level US-Iran talks since recent escalations strained the truce. Iranian delegates also landed, holding preliminary meetings with Sharif as discussions commenced amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan's role as neutral mediator, following prior indirect Oman talks, has solidified trader consensus at 100% for Islamabad as the venue, reflecting confirmed diplomatic logistics and on-site developments. Only an abrupt cancellation—due to security threats, irreconcilable breakdowns, or last-minute relocation—could shift odds, though delegations' presence makes this highly unlikely before June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOù aura lieu la prochaine réunion diplomatique américano-iranienne ?
Où aura lieu la prochaine réunion diplomatique américano-iranienne ?
Pakistan 100.0%
Oman <1%
Émirats arabes unis <1%
Iran <1%
$2,580,447 Vol.
$2,580,447 Vol.
Oman
Non
Émirats arabes unis
Non
Iran
Non
Irak
Non
Autre - Moyen-Orient/Afrique du Nord
Non
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin
Non
Arabie saoudite
Non
Qatar
Non
Suisse
Non
Autriche
Non
Turquie
Non
États-Unis
Non
Égypte
Non
Italie
Non
Kazakhstan
Non
Pakistan
Oui
Russie
Non
Autre - Europe
Non
Autre
Non
Pakistan 100.0%
Oman <1%
Émirats arabes unis <1%
Iran <1%
$2,580,447 Vol.
$2,580,447 Vol.
Oman
Non
Émirats arabes unis
Non
Iran
Non
Irak
Non
Autre - Moyen-Orient/Afrique du Nord
Non
Aucune rencontre d'ici le 30 juin
Non
Arabie saoudite
Non
Qatar
Non
Suisse
Non
Autriche
Non
Turquie
Non
États-Unis
Non
Égypte
Non
Italie
Non
Kazakhstan
Non
Pakistan
Oui
Russie
Non
Autre - Europe
Non
Autre
Non
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
US Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad today for direct ceasefire negotiations with Iran, hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, marking the first high-level US-Iran talks since recent escalations strained the truce. Iranian delegates also landed, holding preliminary meetings with Sharif as discussions commenced amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan's role as neutral mediator, following prior indirect Oman talks, has solidified trader consensus at 100% for Islamabad as the venue, reflecting confirmed diplomatic logistics and on-site developments. Only an abrupt cancellation—due to security threats, irreconcilable breakdowns, or last-minute relocation—could shift odds, though delegations' presence makes this highly unlikely before June 30 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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