President Donald Trump's continued active exercise of executive authority, including a national address on April 1 regarding U.S. strikes in Iran and an executive order on April 2 ensuring citizenship verification in federal elections, reinforces trader consensus that he will remain in office through June 30. Despite partisan Democratic calls for impeachment over the Iran conflict and recent resignations by some appointees protesting military actions, no House impeachment proceedings have advanced amid Republican congressional majorities. Constitutional hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach but two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable, with 2026 midterms looming as the next potential power shift. Markets price low odds of resignation, 25th Amendment invocation, or other early exit absent major scandals or health events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$1,997,806 Vol.
$1,997,806 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$1,997,806 Vol.
$1,997,806 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's continued active exercise of executive authority, including a national address on April 1 regarding U.S. strikes in Iran and an executive order on April 2 ensuring citizenship verification in federal elections, reinforces trader consensus that he will remain in office through June 30. Despite partisan Democratic calls for impeachment over the Iran conflict and recent resignations by some appointees protesting military actions, no House impeachment proceedings have advanced amid Republican congressional majorities. Constitutional hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach but two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable, with 2026 midterms looming as the next potential power shift. Markets price low odds of resignation, 25th Amendment invocation, or other early exit absent major scandals or health events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$1,997,806Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's continued active exercise of executive authority, including a national address on April 1 regarding U.S. strikes in Iran and an executive order on April 2 ensuring citizenship verification in federal elections, reinforces trader consensus that he will remain in office through June 30. Despite partisan Democratic calls for impeachment over the Iran conflict and recent resignations by some appointees protesting military actions, no House impeachment proceedings have advanced amid Republican congressional majorities. Constitutional hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach but two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable, with 2026 midterms looming as the next potential power shift. Markets price low odds of resignation, 25th Amendment invocation, or other early exit absent major scandals or health events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,997,806Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's continued active exercise of executive authority, including a national address on April 1 regarding U.S. strikes in Iran and an executive order on April 2 ensuring citizenship verification in federal elections, reinforces trader consensus that he will remain in office through June 30. Despite partisan Democratic calls for impeachment over the Iran conflict and recent resignations by some appointees protesting military actions, no House impeachment proceedings have advanced amid Republican congressional majorities. Constitutional hurdles—a simple House majority to impeach but two-thirds Senate conviction—remain formidable, with 2026 midterms looming as the next potential power shift. Markets price low odds of resignation, 25th Amendment invocation, or other early exit absent major scandals or health events.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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