Market icon
Politique·Mentions

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Politique·Mentions

Who will Trump name in April?

NOUVEAU
30 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$773 Vol.

Polymarket

Netanyahu

$144 Vol.

97%

Newsom / Newscum

$53 Vol.

88%

Delcy

$36 Vol.

72%

Caine

$7 Vol.

71%

Khamenei / Khomeini

$120 Vol.

83%

Maduro

$5 Vol.

66%

Keir / Starmer

$38 Vol.

80%

Emmanuel / Macron

$3 Vol.

78%

Kushner

$36 Vol.

77%

Kamala

$13 Vol.

77%

Homan

$60 Vol.

73%

Warsh

$3 Vol.

68%

Gianni / Infantino

$102 Vol.

68%

Oz

$0 Vol.

67%

Ilhan / Omar

$6 Vol.

75%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

59%

Castro

$0 Vol.

54%

Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

54%

Massie

$0 Vol.

54%

Leavitt

$0 Vol.

53%

Elon / Musk

$0 Vol.

53%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Vol.

52%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Vol.

51%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Vol.

63%

Warren / Pocahontas

$88 Vol.

51%

Bush

$0 Vol.

50%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

47%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Hillary

$0 Vol.

45%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

44%

Kavanaugh

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

42%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

42%

Jensen / Huang

$0 Vol.

38%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

34%

Zuckerberg

$7 Vol.

39%

Viktor / Orbán

$6 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$773
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors President Trump verbally mentioning Netanyahu (90%+ implied probability) during April public appearances, propelled by his April 1 address on Iran amid Israel's declaration that Tehran no longer poses an existential threat following recent de-escalation signals. Elevated odds for California Gov. Newsom (76-88%) and former VP Kamala Harris (68-77%) reflect Trump's pattern of targeting Democratic figures in speeches, while Fed nominee Kevin Warsh (68-71%) gains from his March confirmation push amid economic policy debates. Probabilities for foreign leaders like Maduro (66%) and Delcy Rodriguez (71%) track ongoing Venezuela sanctions rhetoric. Easter events on April 1 and 6, plus cabinet meetings, loom as key catalysts for verbal references in audio/video statements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$773
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Questions fréquentes

« Who will Trump name in April? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 37 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Netanyahu » à 97%, suivi de « Newsom / Newscum » à 88%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Who will Trump name in April? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 30, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Who will Trump name in April? », parcourez les 37 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Who will Trump name in April? » est « Netanyahu » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Newsom / Newscum » à 88%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Who will Trump name in April? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.