Trader consensus on the DHS shutdown resolution remains tightly clustered around mid-April windows like April 9-20, reflecting deep uncertainty over funding negotiations following the December 20 continuing resolution that extended DHS appropriations only to March 14. This recent bipartisan deal averted an immediate lapse but spotlighted divisions, with House Republicans demanding steep spending cuts via reconciliation while Democrats resist, complicated by the January debt ceiling deadline and incoming Trump administration priorities on border security and deportations. The lame-duck session's narrow CR passage underscores whip counts and holdouts that could prolong a shutdown; separation may come from early January appropriations committee progress, key GOP leadership statements, or post-deadline executive actions like reprogramming funds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour9-12 avril 29%
13-16 avril 29%
17-20 avril 29%
Avant le 1er avril 29%
$11,521 Vol.
$11,521 Vol.
Avant le 1er avril
29%
1-4 avril
24%
5-8 avril
27%
9-12 avril
29%
13-16 avril
29%
17-20 avril
29%
21-24 avril
28%
25-28 avril
15%
29-30 avril
16%
Après le 30 avril
24%
9-12 avril 29%
13-16 avril 29%
17-20 avril 29%
Avant le 1er avril 29%
$11,521 Vol.
$11,521 Vol.
Avant le 1er avril
29%
1-4 avril
24%
5-8 avril
27%
9-12 avril
29%
13-16 avril
29%
17-20 avril
29%
21-24 avril
28%
25-28 avril
15%
29-30 avril
16%
Après le 30 avril
24%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the DHS shutdown resolution remains tightly clustered around mid-April windows like April 9-20, reflecting deep uncertainty over funding negotiations following the December 20 continuing resolution that extended DHS appropriations only to March 14. This recent bipartisan deal averted an immediate lapse but spotlighted divisions, with House Republicans demanding steep spending cuts via reconciliation while Democrats resist, complicated by the January debt ceiling deadline and incoming Trump administration priorities on border security and deportations. The lame-duck session's narrow CR passage underscores whip counts and holdouts that could prolong a shutdown; separation may come from early January appropriations committee progress, key GOP leadership statements, or post-deadline executive actions like reprogramming funds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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