White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<15 minutes 58%
20 - 25 minutes 36%
25 - 30 minutes 35%
30 - 35 minutes 31%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
<15 minutes
36%
15 - 20 minutes
23%
20 - 25 minutes
36%
25 - 30 minutes
35%
30 - 35 minutes
31%
35+ minutes
21%
<15 minutes 58%
20 - 25 minutes 36%
25 - 30 minutes 35%
30 - 35 minutes 31%
NEW
NEW
Mar 31, 2026
<15 minutes
$2 Vol.
36%
15 - 20 minutes
$10 Vol.
23%
20 - 25 minutes
$0 Vol.
36%
25 - 30 minutes
$0 Vol.
35%
30 - 35 minutes
$0 Vol.
31%
35+ minutes
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
Volume
$12Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Volume
$12Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's consistent pattern of moderate delays to scheduled briefings drives the tight trader consensus, with <15 minutes (36%), 20-25 minutes (35.5%), and 25-30 minutes (35%) leading closely. Recent examples include her March 25 arrival 40 minutes past the 1:00 p.m. ET slot amid Iran conflict updates and a March 10 start 17 minutes after her announced 2:00 p.m. time, reflecting variability from last-minute presidential meetings or preparation. No developments in the past week alter this dynamic, but an extended Oval Office huddle on foreign policy could push toward 35+ minutes, while streamlined scheduling might favor under 20 minutes, keeping the outcome contested until her next appearance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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