President-elect Trump's longstanding criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over high interest rates have softened following the Fed's recent rate cuts, aligning more closely with Trump's economic preferences. In a November Time magazine interview, Trump explicitly stated he is not interested in firing Powell, whose term as chair ends in May 2026, signaling reduced appetite for confrontation. No formal investigation into Powell has been announced by the incoming administration, despite past threats tied to monetary policy decisions. Traders weigh this against potential executive actions post-inauguration on January 20, including appointments to influence Fed oversight, amid tariff and fiscal policy plans that could test central bank independence. The next FOMC meeting in mid-December offers a key watchpoint for further signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
Trump abandonne l'enquête Powell par… ?
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Apr 30, 2026
April 30
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30 juin
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$2 Vol.
April 30
$1 Vol.
26%
30 juin
$1 Vol.
58%
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump's longstanding criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over high interest rates have softened following the Fed's recent rate cuts, aligning more closely with Trump's economic preferences. In a November Time magazine interview, Trump explicitly stated he is not interested in firing Powell, whose term as chair ends in May 2026, signaling reduced appetite for confrontation. No formal investigation into Powell has been announced by the incoming administration, despite past threats tied to monetary policy decisions. Traders weigh this against potential executive actions post-inauguration on January 20, including appointments to influence Fed oversight, amid tariff and fiscal policy plans that could test central bank independence. The next FOMC meeting in mid-December offers a key watchpoint for further signals.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volume
$2Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Trump's longstanding criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over high interest rates have softened following the Fed's recent rate cuts, aligning more closely with Trump's economic preferences. In a November Time magazine interview, Trump explicitly stated he is not interested in firing Powell, whose term as chair ends in May 2026, signaling reduced appetite for confrontation. No formal investigation into Powell has been announced by the incoming administration, despite past threats tied to monetary policy decisions. Traders weigh this against potential executive actions post-inauguration on January 20, including appointments to influence Fed oversight, amid tariff and fiscal policy plans that could test central bank independence. The next FOMC meeting in mid-December offers a key watchpoint for further signals.
Federal prosecutors opened a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters (See: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/11/business/federal-prosecutors-criminal-investigation-federal-reserve-chair-jerome-powell).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this criminal investigation into Jerome Powell is dropped by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Official statements from Donald Trump or other Trump Administration officials will only suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” if they definitively indicate that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment. Suggestions, informal statements, statements that there will be no charges for now, or other statements that do not meet this standard will not alone qualify.
If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation, within this market’s timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Federal Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 26, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Trump's longstanding criticisms of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over high interest rates have softened following the Fed's recent rate cuts, aligning more closely with Trump's economic preferences. In a November Time magazine interview, Trump explicitly stated he is not interested in firing Powell, whose term as chair ends in May 2026, signaling reduced appetite for confrontation. No formal investigation into Powell has been announced by the incoming administration, despite past threats tied to monetary policy decisions. Traders weigh this against potential executive actions post-inauguration on January 20, including appointments to influence Fed oversight, amid tariff and fiscal policy plans that could test central bank independence. The next FOMC meeting in mid-December offers a key watchpoint for further signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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