Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?
2 (50 pb) 28%
3 (75 points de base) 24%
1 (25 bps) 18%
4 (100 pb) 12%
$7,124,072 Vol.
$7,124,072 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
$1,524,046 Vol.
8%
1 (25 bps)
$517,157 Vol.
18%
2 (50 pb)
$457,422 Vol.
28%
3 (75 points de base)
$324,290 Vol.
24%
4 (100 pb)
$322,622 Vol.
12%
5 (125 pb)
$285,773 Vol.
6%
6 (150 points de base)
$1,183,745 Vol.
3%
7 (175 points de base)
$362,104 Vol.
1%
8 (200 points de base)
$442,980 Vol.
1%
9 (225 points de base)
$320,929 Vol.
1%
10 (250 pb)
$324,575 Vol.
1%
11 (275 points de base)
$375,395 Vol.
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$683,654 Vol.
2%
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Créé le : Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?
2 (50 pb) 28%
3 (75 points de base) 24%
1 (25 bps) 18%
4 (100 pb) 12%
$7,124,072 Vol.
$7,124,072 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
8%
1 (25 bps)
18%
2 (50 pb)
28%
3 (75 points de base)
24%
4 (100 pb)
12%
5 (125 pb)
6%
6 (150 points de base)
3%
7 (175 points de base)
1%
8 (200 points de base)
1%
9 (225 points de base)
1%
10 (250 pb)
1%
11 (275 points de base)
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
2%
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