Combien de baisses des taux d'intérêt de la Fed en 2026 ?
3 (75 points de base) 27%
2 (50 pb) 23%
4 (100 pb) 16%
1 (25 bps) 9%
$3,133,335 Vol.
$3,133,335 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
$474,580 Vol.
6%
0 (0 bps)
$474,580 Vol.
6%
1 (25 bps)
$269,885 Vol.
9%
1 (25 bps)
$269,885 Vol.
9%
2 (50 pb)
$295,981 Vol.
23%
2 (50 pb)
$295,981 Vol.
23%
3 (75 points de base)
$198,530 Vol.
27%
3 (75 points de base)
$198,530 Vol.
27%
4 (100 pb)
$169,062 Vol.
16%
4 (100 pb)
$169,062 Vol.
16%
5 (125 pb)
$189,755 Vol.
8%
5 (125 pb)
$189,755 Vol.
8%
6 (150 points de base)
$212,190 Vol.
5%
6 (150 points de base)
$212,190 Vol.
5%
7 (175 points de base)
$168,844 Vol.
3%
7 (175 points de base)
$168,844 Vol.
3%
8 (200 points de base)
$264,659 Vol.
2%
8 (200 points de base)
$264,659 Vol.
2%
9 (225 points de base)
$201,441 Vol.
3%
9 (225 points de base)
$201,441 Vol.
3%
10 (250 pb)
$218,620 Vol.
1%
10 (250 pb)
$218,620 Vol.
1%
11 (275 points de base)
$228,395 Vol.
1%
11 (275 points de base)
$228,395 Vol.
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
$241,393 Vol.
2%
12+ (300+ bps)
$241,393 Vol.
2%
Règles
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Créé le : Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Combien de baisses des taux d'intérêt de la Fed en 2026 ?
3 (75 points de base) 27%
2 (50 pb) 23%
4 (100 pb) 16%
1 (25 bps) 9%
$3,133,335 Vol.
$3,133,335 Vol.
0 (0 bps)
6%
1 (25 bps)
9%
2 (50 pb)
23%
3 (75 points de base)
27%
4 (100 pb)
16%
5 (125 pb)
8%
6 (150 points de base)
5%
7 (175 points de base)
3%
8 (200 points de base)
2%
9 (225 points de base)
3%
10 (250 pb)
1%
11 (275 points de base)
1%
12+ (300+ bps)
2%
À propos
Resolver
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