Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward Goldman Sachs (31%) over Morgan Stanley (27.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX’s anticipated IPO, driven by Goldman’s role as sole bookrunner in the company’s $1.75 billion share tender last month, solidifying its deep advisory ties amid intensifying bank competition. Morgan Stanley counters with its track record on blockbuster tech IPOs like Snowflake and Reddit, plus prior SpaceX equity mandates, while Bank of America (17%) leverages space sector deals. This tight race hinges on Elon Musk’s bank preferences and bidding dynamics for the rocket maker’s potential 2025 public debut; upcoming tender announcements or S-1 filings could decisively shift market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGoldman Sachs 32%
Morgan Stanley 28%
Bank of America 16.4%
JPMorgan 1.4%
$1,144,010 Vol.
$1,144,010 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
32%

Morgan Stanley
28%

Bank of America
16%

JPMorgan
1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 32%
Morgan Stanley 28%
Bank of America 16.4%
JPMorgan 1.4%
$1,144,010 Vol.
$1,144,010 Vol.

Goldman Sachs
32%

Morgan Stanley
28%

Bank of America
16%

JPMorgan
1%

Citigroup
<1%

Barclays
<1%

UBS
<1%

Deutsche Bank
<1%

Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of SpaceX’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from SpaceX. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts narrowly toward Goldman Sachs (31%) over Morgan Stanley (27.5%) as lead underwriter for SpaceX’s anticipated IPO, driven by Goldman’s role as sole bookrunner in the company’s $1.75 billion share tender last month, solidifying its deep advisory ties amid intensifying bank competition. Morgan Stanley counters with its track record on blockbuster tech IPOs like Snowflake and Reddit, plus prior SpaceX equity mandates, while Bank of America (17%) leverages space sector deals. This tight race hinges on Elon Musk’s bank preferences and bidding dynamics for the rocket maker’s potential 2025 public debut; upcoming tender announcements or S-1 filings could decisively shift market-implied odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes