SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has ignited trader consensus on Polymarket, with $X edging out Other at 46% implied probability amid razor-thin margins, reflecting split sentiment on Elon Musk's branding preferences versus conventional ticker choices. Musk's affinity for "X"—echoing his X platform rebrand and historical x.com roots—bolsters its lead, especially after social media buzz from analysts like Jesse Cohen highlighting street talk of $X adoption, though availability post-Twitter delisting remains unconfirmed. Other gains traction on descriptive options like SPAX or SPACE, appealing to aerospace norms amid SpaceX's $1.75 trillion valuation hype and Starship milestones. Key differentiator: Upcoming public S-1 prospectus, expected by mid-2026, will reveal the official symbol, potentially swayed by Musk tweets or regulatory assignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$X 47%
Autre 45.3%
$SPAX 4.4%
$SPACE 1.7%
$4,255,190 Vol.
$4,255,190 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
$X
47%
Autre
45%
$SPAX
4%
$SPACE
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX
1%
$STAR
1%
$SEX
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$X 47%
Autre 45.3%
$SPAX 4.4%
$SPACE 1.7%
$4,255,190 Vol.
$4,255,190 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
$X
$428,277 Vol.
47%
Autre
$116,377 Vol.
45%
$SPAX
$283,299 Vol.
4%
$SPACE
$470,215 Vol.
2%
Titre d'élément de groupe : $SX
$268,002 Vol.
1%
$STAR
$748,314 Vol.
1%
$SEX
$1,244,185 Vol.
1%
$MARS
$195,626 Vol.
<1%
$SPC
$500,894 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has ignited trader consensus on Polymarket, with $X edging out Other at 46% implied probability amid razor-thin margins, reflecting split sentiment on Elon Musk's branding preferences versus conventional ticker choices. Musk's affinity for "X"—echoing his X platform rebrand and historical x.com roots—bolsters its lead, especially after social media buzz from analysts like Jesse Cohen highlighting street talk of $X adoption, though availability post-Twitter delisting remains unconfirmed. Other gains traction on descriptive options like SPAX or SPACE, appealing to aerospace norms amid SpaceX's $1.75 trillion valuation hype and Starship milestones. Key differentiator: Upcoming public S-1 prospectus, expected by mid-2026, will reveal the official symbol, potentially swayed by Musk tweets or regulatory assignment.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volume
$4,255,190Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has ignited trader consensus on Polymarket, with $X edging out Other at 46% implied probability amid razor-thin margins, reflecting split sentiment on Elon Musk's branding preferences versus conventional ticker choices. Musk's affinity for "X"—echoing his X platform rebrand and historical x.com roots—bolsters its lead, especially after social media buzz from analysts like Jesse Cohen highlighting street talk of $X adoption, though availability post-Twitter delisting remains unconfirmed. Other gains traction on descriptive options like SPAX or SPACE, appealing to aerospace norms amid SpaceX's $1.75 trillion valuation hype and Starship milestones. Key differentiator: Upcoming public S-1 prospectus, expected by mid-2026, will reveal the official symbol, potentially swayed by Musk tweets or regulatory assignment.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$4,255,190Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has ignited trader consensus on Polymarket, with $X edging out Other at 46% implied probability amid razor-thin margins, reflecting split sentiment on Elon Musk's branding preferences versus conventional ticker choices. Musk's affinity for "X"—echoing his X platform rebrand and historical x.com roots—bolsters its lead, especially after social media buzz from analysts like Jesse Cohen highlighting street talk of $X adoption, though availability post-Twitter delisting remains unconfirmed. Other gains traction on descriptive options like SPAX or SPACE, appealing to aerospace norms amid SpaceX's $1.75 trillion valuation hype and Starship milestones. Key differentiator: Upcoming public S-1 prospectus, expected by mid-2026, will reveal the official symbol, potentially swayed by Musk tweets or regulatory assignment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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