Recent SEC filings and banker engagements by SpaceX and OpenAI have anchored high implied probabilities for their 2026 debuts, with SpaceX targeting as early as mid-year and OpenAI preparing a confidential prospectus possibly by September. AI infrastructure and model developers like Databricks and Anthropic are advancing IPO readiness through strong revenue growth, large funding rounds at $100B+ valuations, and exploratory steps, riding the 2025 rebound in tech listings driven by investor appetite for generative AI capabilities. Broader factors include stabilizing rates, positive TMT sector performance, and historical precedents for unicorns listing once market windows open. Key catalysts ahead include further regulatory clearances, earnings updates, and any shifts in macroeconomic conditions that could accelerate or delay timelines through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$6,339,499 Vol.

SpaceX
98%

OpenAI
74%

Anthropic
71%

Discord
61%

À distance
22%

Databricks
22%

SHEIN
18%

Rippling
18%

Mistral AI
16%

WHOOP
20%

Applied Intuition
15%

Ripple Labs
14%

Fannie Mae
14%

Epic Games
12%

Anduril
12%

Ledger
12%

Glean
12%

Ramp
11%

Freddie Mac
11%

Celonis
10%

Canva
9%

Vanta
9%

Anduril Industries
9%

Stripe
8%

Deel
8%

Revolut
8%

Waymo
6%

Anysphere (Cursor)
6%

ByteDance
6%

Brex
2%
$6,339,499 Vol.

SpaceX
98%

OpenAI
74%

Anthropic
71%

Discord
61%

À distance
22%

Databricks
22%

SHEIN
18%

Rippling
18%

Mistral AI
16%

WHOOP
20%

Applied Intuition
15%

Ripple Labs
14%

Fannie Mae
14%

Epic Games
12%

Anduril
12%

Ledger
12%

Glean
12%

Ramp
11%

Freddie Mac
11%

Celonis
10%

Canva
9%

Vanta
9%

Anduril Industries
9%

Stripe
8%

Deel
8%

Revolut
8%

Waymo
6%

Anysphere (Cursor)
6%

ByteDance
6%

Brex
2%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent SEC filings and banker engagements by SpaceX and OpenAI have anchored high implied probabilities for their 2026 debuts, with SpaceX targeting as early as mid-year and OpenAI preparing a confidential prospectus possibly by September. AI infrastructure and model developers like Databricks and Anthropic are advancing IPO readiness through strong revenue growth, large funding rounds at $100B+ valuations, and exploratory steps, riding the 2025 rebound in tech listings driven by investor appetite for generative AI capabilities. Broader factors include stabilizing rates, positive TMT sector performance, and historical precedents for unicorns listing once market windows open. Key catalysts ahead include further regulatory clearances, earnings updates, and any shifts in macroeconomic conditions that could accelerate or delay timelines through year-end 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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