Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ IPO market cap by December 31, 2027 (80.5% implied probability), driven by the company's rapid ascent in the artificial intelligence race through Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-topping performance against rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o, released in June 2024. Massive investments—Amazon's up to $8B commitment and Google's $2B infusion—have propelled private valuations past $18B, underscoring competitive positioning in large language models amid booming AI demand. The 16% odds on no IPO reflect regulatory scrutiny and execution risks in AI safety, but traders see hyper-scaling potential mirroring OpenAI's trajectory, with key catalysts like Claude 4 previews or further enterprise deals ahead of any 2026-2027 listing window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour600 milliards+ 81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 16%
400–600 Md$ 2.4%
<100 G$ 1.1%
$91,861 Vol.
$91,861 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 G$
1%
100–200 Md$
1%
200–300 Md$
1%
300–400 Mds
1%
400–600 Md$
2%
600 milliards+
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
16%
600 milliards+ 81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 16%
400–600 Md$ 2.4%
<100 G$ 1.1%
$91,861 Vol.
$91,861 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 G$
$47,430 Vol.
1%
100–200 Md$
$3,275 Vol.
1%
200–300 Md$
$3,332 Vol.
1%
300–400 Mds
$25,149 Vol.
1%
400–600 Md$
$3,249 Vol.
2%
600 milliards+
$6,047 Vol.
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$3,379 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ IPO market cap by December 31, 2027 (80.5% implied probability), driven by the company's rapid ascent in the artificial intelligence race through Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-topping performance against rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o, released in June 2024. Massive investments—Amazon's up to $8B commitment and Google's $2B infusion—have propelled private valuations past $18B, underscoring competitive positioning in large language models amid booming AI demand. The 16% odds on no IPO reflect regulatory scrutiny and execution risks in AI safety, but traders see hyper-scaling potential mirroring OpenAI's trajectory, with key catalysts like Claude 4 previews or further enterprise deals ahead of any 2026-2027 listing window.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$91,861Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ IPO market cap by December 31, 2027 (80.5% implied probability), driven by the company's rapid ascent in the artificial intelligence race through Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-topping performance against rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o, released in June 2024. Massive investments—Amazon's up to $8B commitment and Google's $2B infusion—have propelled private valuations past $18B, underscoring competitive positioning in large language models amid booming AI demand. The 16% odds on no IPO reflect regulatory scrutiny and execution risks in AI safety, but traders see hyper-scaling potential mirroring OpenAI's trajectory, with key catalysts like Claude 4 previews or further enterprise deals ahead of any 2026-2027 listing window.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$91,861Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a 600B+ IPO market cap by December 31, 2027 (80.5% implied probability), driven by the company's rapid ascent in the artificial intelligence race through Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-topping performance against rivals like OpenAI's GPT-4o, released in June 2024. Massive investments—Amazon's up to $8B commitment and Google's $2B infusion—have propelled private valuations past $18B, underscoring competitive positioning in large language models amid booming AI demand. The 16% odds on no IPO reflect regulatory scrutiny and execution risks in AI safety, but traders see hyper-scaling potential mirroring OpenAI's trajectory, with key catalysts like Claude 4 previews or further enterprise deals ahead of any 2026-2027 listing window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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