Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic closing its initial public offering (IPO) with a market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's frontier large language model Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-leading performance against GPT-4o and Gemini, alongside Amazon's expanded $8 billion investment commitment and Google's $2 billion stake signaling robust backing for scaled AI infrastructure. This positions Anthropic as a top contender in the competitive AI landscape, mirroring OpenAI's private valuation surge to $157 billion. The 16% odds for no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO Dario Amodei's recent statements prioritizing long-term AI safety over near-term public markets amid regulatory pressures. Lower cap outcomes remain marginal (<3% combined) absent major setbacks, with upcoming Claude Opus release and potential funding rounds as key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour600 milliards+ 81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 16%
400–600 Md$ 2.4%
<100 G$ 1.4%
$91,794 Vol.
$91,794 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 G$
1%
100–200 Md$
1%
200–300 Md$
1%
300–400 Mds
1%
400–600 Md$
2%
600 milliards+
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
16%
600 milliards+ 81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 16%
400–600 Md$ 2.4%
<100 G$ 1.4%
$91,794 Vol.
$91,794 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<100 G$
$47,422 Vol.
1%
100–200 Md$
$3,267 Vol.
1%
200–300 Md$
$3,325 Vol.
1%
300–400 Mds
$25,141 Vol.
1%
400–600 Md$
$3,242 Vol.
2%
600 milliards+
$6,032 Vol.
81%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$3,365 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic closing its initial public offering (IPO) with a market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's frontier large language model Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-leading performance against GPT-4o and Gemini, alongside Amazon's expanded $8 billion investment commitment and Google's $2 billion stake signaling robust backing for scaled AI infrastructure. This positions Anthropic as a top contender in the competitive AI landscape, mirroring OpenAI's private valuation surge to $157 billion. The 16% odds for no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO Dario Amodei's recent statements prioritizing long-term AI safety over near-term public markets amid regulatory pressures. Lower cap outcomes remain marginal (<3% combined) absent major setbacks, with upcoming Claude Opus release and potential funding rounds as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$91,794Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic closing its initial public offering (IPO) with a market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's frontier large language model Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-leading performance against GPT-4o and Gemini, alongside Amazon's expanded $8 billion investment commitment and Google's $2 billion stake signaling robust backing for scaled AI infrastructure. This positions Anthropic as a top contender in the competitive AI landscape, mirroring OpenAI's private valuation surge to $157 billion. The 16% odds for no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO Dario Amodei's recent statements prioritizing long-term AI safety over near-term public markets amid regulatory pressures. Lower cap outcomes remain marginal (<3% combined) absent major setbacks, with upcoming Claude Opus release and potential funding rounds as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$91,794Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic closing its initial public offering (IPO) with a market cap exceeding $600 billion (80.5% implied probability), propelled by the company's frontier large language model Claude 3.5 Sonnet's benchmark-leading performance against GPT-4o and Gemini, alongside Amazon's expanded $8 billion investment commitment and Google's $2 billion stake signaling robust backing for scaled AI infrastructure. This positions Anthropic as a top contender in the competitive AI landscape, mirroring OpenAI's private valuation surge to $157 billion. The 16% odds for no IPO by December 31, 2027, reflect CEO Dario Amodei's recent statements prioritizing long-term AI safety over near-term public markets amid regulatory pressures. Lower cap outcomes remain marginal (<3% combined) absent major setbacks, with upcoming Claude Opus release and potential funding rounds as key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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