Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 83.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at 2025's end—and secondary market trading implying $613 billion on platforms like Augment, with VC offers surging past $800 billion as recently as April 14. This reflects Claude AI's enterprise dominance in coding tools and developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI amid questions over the latter's $852 billion valuation. A February $30 billion funding round cemented a $380 billion post-money value, but bankers now pitch a Q4 2026 IPO raising over $60 billion. No-IPO-by-2027 odds at 10% acknowledge execution risks like regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though momentum points to public listing well before then; lower brackets trail due to scant support for sub-$600 billion outcomes absent major setbacks. Watch Q2 earnings previews and S-1 filings for resolution catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour600 milliards+ 84%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 10%
400–600 Md$ 3.4%
<100 G$ <1%
$272,975 Vol.
$272,975 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
1%
100–200 Md$
1%
200–300 Md$
<1%
300–400 Mds
1%
400–600 Md$
3%
600 milliards+
84%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
10%
600 milliards+ 84%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027 10%
400–600 Md$ 3.4%
<100 G$ <1%
$272,975 Vol.
$272,975 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<100 G$
$136,621 Vol.
1%
100–200 Md$
$51,057 Vol.
1%
200–300 Md$
$6,584 Vol.
<1%
300–400 Mds
$50,105 Vol.
1%
400–600 Md$
$7,647 Vol.
3%
600 milliards+
$10,656 Vol.
84%
Aucune introduction en bourse d'ici le 31 décembre 2027
$10,406 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 83.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at 2025's end—and secondary market trading implying $613 billion on platforms like Augment, with VC offers surging past $800 billion as recently as April 14. This reflects Claude AI's enterprise dominance in coding tools and developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI amid questions over the latter's $852 billion valuation. A February $30 billion funding round cemented a $380 billion post-money value, but bankers now pitch a Q4 2026 IPO raising over $60 billion. No-IPO-by-2027 odds at 10% acknowledge execution risks like regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though momentum points to public listing well before then; lower brackets trail due to scant support for sub-$600 billion outcomes absent major setbacks. Watch Q2 earnings previews and S-1 filings for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Volume
$272,975Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 83.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at 2025's end—and secondary market trading implying $613 billion on platforms like Augment, with VC offers surging past $800 billion as recently as April 14. This reflects Claude AI's enterprise dominance in coding tools and developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI amid questions over the latter's $852 billion valuation. A February $30 billion funding round cemented a $380 billion post-money value, but bankers now pitch a Q4 2026 IPO raising over $60 billion. No-IPO-by-2027 odds at 10% acknowledge execution risks like regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though momentum points to public listing well before then; lower brackets trail due to scant support for sub-$600 billion outcomes absent major setbacks. Watch Q2 earnings previews and S-1 filings for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$272,975Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Anthropic IPO closing above $600 billion at 83.5% implied probability, propelled by explosive revenue growth to a $30 billion annualized run-rate—up from $9 billion at 2025's end—and secondary market trading implying $613 billion on platforms like Augment, with VC offers surging past $800 billion as recently as April 14. This reflects Claude AI's enterprise dominance in coding tools and developer ecosystems, outpacing OpenAI amid questions over the latter's $852 billion valuation. A February $30 billion funding round cemented a $380 billion post-money value, but bankers now pitch a Q4 2026 IPO raising over $60 billion. No-IPO-by-2027 odds at 10% acknowledge execution risks like regulatory scrutiny on AI safety, though momentum points to public listing well before then; lower brackets trail due to scant support for sub-$600 billion outcomes absent major setbacks. Watch Q2 earnings previews and S-1 filings for resolution catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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