Recent reporting on Anthropic’s preparations for a potential October 2026 listing has strengthened trader consensus around its 68.5% implied probability of going public first. The company has engaged Wilson Sonsini to handle IPO filings and held early discussions with major banks, positioning it ahead in formal groundwork. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman has pushed for a Q4 2026 timeline while CFO Sarah Friar has signaled the firm may not yet be ready—alongside missed revenue targets and ongoing litigation. These factors, combined with Anthropic’s enterprise-focused revenue trajectory and faster path toward profitability benchmarks, have tilted market-implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any confirmed S-1 filings or additional financing rounds that could shift timelines for either large language model developer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$54,775 Vol.
$54,775 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Anthropic
$54,775 Vol.
$54,775 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting on Anthropic’s preparations for a potential October 2026 listing has strengthened trader consensus around its 68.5% implied probability of going public first. The company has engaged Wilson Sonsini to handle IPO filings and held early discussions with major banks, positioning it ahead in formal groundwork. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman has pushed for a Q4 2026 timeline while CFO Sarah Friar has signaled the firm may not yet be ready—alongside missed revenue targets and ongoing litigation. These factors, combined with Anthropic’s enterprise-focused revenue trajectory and faster path toward profitability benchmarks, have tilted market-implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any confirmed S-1 filings or additional financing rounds that could shift timelines for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Volume
$54,775Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Recent reporting on Anthropic’s preparations for a potential October 2026 listing has strengthened trader consensus around its 68.5% implied probability of going public first. The company has engaged Wilson Sonsini to handle IPO filings and held early discussions with major banks, positioning it ahead in formal groundwork. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman has pushed for a Q4 2026 timeline while CFO Sarah Friar has signaled the firm may not yet be ready—alongside missed revenue targets and ongoing litigation. These factors, combined with Anthropic’s enterprise-focused revenue trajectory and faster path toward profitability benchmarks, have tilted market-implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any confirmed S-1 filings or additional financing rounds that could shift timelines for either large language model developer.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$54,775Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent reporting on Anthropic’s preparations for a potential October 2026 listing has strengthened trader consensus around its 68.5% implied probability of going public first. The company has engaged Wilson Sonsini to handle IPO filings and held early discussions with major banks, positioning it ahead in formal groundwork. In contrast, OpenAI faces internal divergence—CEO Sam Altman has pushed for a Q4 2026 timeline while CFO Sarah Friar has signaled the firm may not yet be ready—alongside missed revenue targets and ongoing litigation. These factors, combined with Anthropic’s enterprise-focused revenue trajectory and faster path toward profitability benchmarks, have tilted market-implied odds. Key catalysts ahead include any confirmed S-1 filings or additional financing rounds that could shift timelines for either large language model developer.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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