OpenAI’s recent acceleration of confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, is the main factor behind the 75.5% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. The company has advanced its public-benefit corporation structure and capital-raising timeline amid intense competition in large language model development and enterprise adoption. Anthropic continues planning for an October or broader Q4 2026 window after earlier banker discussions and funding rounds, but lacks comparable recent momentum toward an earlier filing. Traders are monitoring upcoming regulatory steps and any shifts in AI market conditions that could alter these timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
Anthropic
$62,364 Vol.
$62,364 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s recent acceleration of confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, is the main factor behind the 75.5% market-implied odds it lists before Anthropic. The company has advanced its public-benefit corporation structure and capital-raising timeline amid intense competition in large language model development and enterprise adoption. Anthropic continues planning for an October or broader Q4 2026 window after earlier banker discussions and funding rounds, but lacks comparable recent momentum toward an earlier filing. Traders are monitoring upcoming regulatory steps and any shifts in AI market conditions that could alter these timelines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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