OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75.5% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI has cleared key legal hurdles and is advancing prospectus work amid strong artificial intelligence demand, while Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation. Both companies remain in the pre-filing stage with fluid plans that could shift due to regulatory review, market conditions, or internal milestones, but OpenAI’s more immediate momentum currently shapes trader consensus on the race to public markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic
$63,351 Vol.
$63,351 Vol.
Anthropic
$63,351 Vol.
$63,351 Vol.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated confidential IPO filing preparations with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, targeting readiness as early as September 2026, are driving the 75.5% market-implied odds it will list before Anthropic. Recent reporting shows OpenAI has cleared key legal hurdles and is advancing prospectus work amid strong artificial intelligence demand, while Anthropic continues advancing its own timeline toward an October or later Q4 window, supported by fresh capital raises at roughly $900 billion valuation. Both companies remain in the pre-filing stage with fluid plans that could shift due to regulatory review, market conditions, or internal milestones, but OpenAI’s more immediate momentum currently shapes trader consensus on the race to public markets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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