OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

23%

$42.2K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

99%

Anthropic

$15M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

85%

Anthropic

$2M Vol.

$720K today

$349K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

57%

Anthropic

$3M Vol.

$185K today

$334K Liq.

63

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

97%

Anthropic

$883K Vol.

$110K today

$117K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

96%

Anthropic

$452K Vol.

$103K today

$123K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

97%

Google

$458K Vol.

$66.3K today

$105K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

94%

Google

$345K Vol.

$80.5K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 days

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

73%

Anthropic

$298K Vol.

$80.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

54%

Google

$59.7K Vol.

$49.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

Which company has the second best AI model end of March?

97%

Anthropic

$524K Vol.

$109K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

46%

Anthropic

$140K Vol.

$158K Liq.

22

Ends in 3 months

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

51%

Anthropic

$76.2K Vol.

$97.6K Liq.

52

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

41%

Anthropic

$5.3K Vol.

$25.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

29%

OpenAI

$1M Vol.

$53.9K Liq.

25

Ends in 3 months

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?

59%

↑ 1550

$65.8K Vol.

$40.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

11%

$69.5K Vol.

$26.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

80%

Anthropic

$5.3K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

81%

Anthropic

$3.6K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

44%

None in 2026

$6.3K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Questions fréquentes

Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et tirer profit de vos connaissances en tradant sur des sujets liés à l’actualité, la politique, le sport, les élections, la crypto, la finance, la tech, la culture, y compris des sujets comme Llm.

Polymarket héberge actuellement 122 marchés actifs pour Llm qui vous permettent de suivre ou de trader des prédictions comme « OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? ». Que vous suiviez des événements largement débattus ou des résultats de niche, la plateforme agrège des cotes en temps réel basées sur plus de $24.2M de volume de trading, offrant une vue d’ensemble complète du sentiment des fans et des investisseurs.

Chaque polymarket est une question oui/non, comme « OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? ». Vous achetez des parts sur les résultats « oui » ou « non ». Les prix reflètent des cotes et des probabilités participatives. Par exemple, si oui est à 30 centimes, cela représente une probabilité de 30 %. Les marchés sont résolus sur la base des résultats officiels. Pour les événements à résultats multiples, comme « Which company has the best AI model end of March? », vous tradez simplement sur le résultat que vous pensez gagnant.

À ce jour, le marché le plus actif est « Which company has the best AI model end of March? », où la foule attribue actuellement une probabilité de 99% à Anthropic. Ces cotes se mettent à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles informations émergent et que les utilisateurs tradent, offrant un aperçu dynamique de ce que le marché estime qu’il va se passer par rapport aux cotes traditionnelles des bookmakers.

Cela coupe court au bruit. Contrairement aux sondages ou aux commentateurs, Polymarket vous montre des cotes en temps réel sur les prédictions Llm soutenues par une conviction financière, souvent plus rapides et plus précises que les experts ou les enquêtes. Vous obtenez une vision impartiale de ce que des milliers de traders pensent qu’il va réellement se passer, souvent plus précise que les sondages. De plus, vous pouvez trader des parts et potentiellement profiter si vos prédictions sont exactes.