Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
La plus grande introduction en bourse par capitalisation boursière en 2026 ?
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 Vol.
$1,717,591 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
3%
Discord
2%
Databricks
1%
Stripe
1%
Kraken
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 3.5%
Anthropic 3.2%
Discord 1.8%
$1,717,591 Vol.
$1,717,591 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
SpaceX
$209,880 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$309,518 Vol.
3%
Anthropic
$348,535 Vol.
3%
Discord
$74,602 Vol.
2%
Databricks
$73,225 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$41,460 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$376,914 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$87,768 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$55,793 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$57,710 Vol.
<1%
Waymo
$49,652 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$32,533 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$1,717,591Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,717,591Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily back SpaceX at 89.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its confidential U.S. filing on April 1 that sets the stage for a historic offering potentially valuing the rocket and satellite giant at $1.5 trillion or more. Recent investor site visits and roadshow preparations signal mid-June pricing, bolstering consensus amid Elon Musk's late-2025 IPO confirmation and Starlink expansion momentum. xAI's 25.5% odds stem from its February acquisition by SpaceX, layering artificial intelligence capabilities onto space tech for enhanced valuation potential, though merger details remain fluid. OpenAI (3.5%) and Anthropic (3.2%) lag without comparable filings, despite broader mega-IPO speculation; watch for S-1 disclosures and regulatory reviews as pivotal catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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