Market icon

2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?

Market icon

2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?

Jeff Bezos 22.9%

Jensen Huang 19%

Mark Zuckerberg 25%

Larry Ellison 20%

Polymarket
NEW

Jeff Bezos 22.9%

Jensen Huang 19%

Mark Zuckerberg 25%

Larry Ellison 20%

Polymarket
NEW
Market icon

Jeff Bezos

$259 Vol.

23%

Market icon

Jensen Huang

$369 Vol.

19%

Market icon

Mark Zuckerberg

$232 Vol.

25%

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Larry Ellison

$232 Vol.

20%

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Sergey Brin

$372 Vol.

12%

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Elon Musk

$236 Vol.

14%

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Bernard Arnault

$372 Vol.

9%

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Steve Ballmer

$257 Vol.

3%

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Warren Buffett

$885 Vol.

32%

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Larry Page

$1,440 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$4,653
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026
Créé le
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Page" at 36%, followed by "Warren Buffett" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?" is "Larry Page" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Warren Buffett" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2e personne la plus riche au 31 décembre ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.