Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 78% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's alignment with high-growth tech firms like Tesla, which trades there amid successful Starship test flights and Starlink's expansion to over 6,000 operational satellites. Recent private tender offers valuing SpaceX at $210 billion underscore its rocket reusability breakthroughs and NASA contracts, bolstering NASDAQ appeal for innovative space enterprises, while NYSE at 10.5% suits more established industrials. No IPO announcement from Elon Musk, who ties public markets to Mars mission milestones; Other at 9.5% accounts for direct listings or delays. Watch for Starship Flight 6 updates and Falcon Heavy launches, which could shift sentiment ahead of any SEC filing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 10%
NASDAQ
78%
NYSE
11%
Other
10%
NASDAQ 78%
NYSE 11%
Other 10%
NASDAQ
78%
NYSE
11%
Other
10%
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 78% probability for SpaceX listing on NASDAQ, reflecting the company's alignment with high-growth tech firms like Tesla, which trades there amid successful Starship test flights and Starlink's expansion to over 6,000 operational satellites. Recent private tender offers valuing SpaceX at $210 billion underscore its rocket reusability breakthroughs and NASA contracts, bolstering NASDAQ appeal for innovative space enterprises, while NYSE at 10.5% suits more established industrials. No IPO announcement from Elon Musk, who ties public markets to Mars mission milestones; Other at 9.5% accounts for direct listings or delays. Watch for Starship Flight 6 updates and Falcon Heavy launches, which could shift sentiment ahead of any SEC filing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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