Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and plans for a prospectus disclosure as soon as next week, followed by a roadshow starting June 8 targeting a June debut. Nasdaq's new rules, specifically tailored to enable SpaceX's immediate inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index post-IPO, provide a strong incentive by ensuring rapid passive fund inflows, aligning with Elon Musk's history of listing Tesla on the exchange. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated path to public markets amid its merger with xAI and $1.75 trillion valuation targets. Realistic challenges include a last-minute pivot to NYSE for broader institutional appeal or an emerging venue like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such shifts have materialized in official updates; upcoming prospectus details will clarify final exchange selection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNASDAQ 96%
Autre 4.1%
NYSE <1%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
96%
Autre
4%
NYSE
1%
NASDAQ 96%
Autre 4.1%
NYSE <1%
$100,562 Vol.
$100,562 Vol.
NASDAQ
$23,522 Vol.
96%
Autre
$58,130 Vol.
4%
NYSE
$18,910 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and plans for a prospectus disclosure as soon as next week, followed by a roadshow starting June 8 targeting a June debut. Nasdaq's new rules, specifically tailored to enable SpaceX's immediate inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index post-IPO, provide a strong incentive by ensuring rapid passive fund inflows, aligning with Elon Musk's history of listing Tesla on the exchange. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated path to public markets amid its merger with xAI and $1.75 trillion valuation targets. Realistic challenges include a last-minute pivot to NYSE for broader institutional appeal or an emerging venue like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such shifts have materialized in official updates; upcoming prospectus details will clarify final exchange selection.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$100,562Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and plans for a prospectus disclosure as soon as next week, followed by a roadshow starting June 8 targeting a June debut. Nasdaq's new rules, specifically tailored to enable SpaceX's immediate inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index post-IPO, provide a strong incentive by ensuring rapid passive fund inflows, aligning with Elon Musk's history of listing Tesla on the exchange. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated path to public markets amid its merger with xAI and $1.75 trillion valuation targets. Realistic challenges include a last-minute pivot to NYSE for broader institutional appeal or an emerging venue like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such shifts have materialized in official updates; upcoming prospectus details will clarify final exchange selection.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,562Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at 95.5% implied probability, driven by recent reports of the company's confidential SEC filing in early April 2026 and plans for a prospectus disclosure as soon as next week, followed by a roadshow starting June 8 targeting a June debut. Nasdaq's new rules, specifically tailored to enable SpaceX's immediate inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 index post-IPO, provide a strong incentive by ensuring rapid passive fund inflows, aligning with Elon Musk's history of listing Tesla on the exchange. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects SpaceX's accelerated path to public markets amid its merger with xAI and $1.75 trillion valuation targets. Realistic challenges include a last-minute pivot to NYSE for broader institutional appeal or an emerging venue like the Texas Stock Exchange, though no such shifts have materialized in official updates; upcoming prospectus details will clarify final exchange selection.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes