Anthropic commands the strongest trader consensus here because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related models continue to post leading results on key benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, reinforced by consistent enterprise adoption and recent previews like the Mythos cybersecurity variant. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds second place through strong performance on multimodal and scientific-reasoning evaluations such as GPQA, yet lacks comparable momentum in developer tooling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April has not shifted the frontier enough to close the gap, while recent open-weight entries from Chinese labs remain behind on raw capability and safety positioning. With resolution at month-end, any last-minute model drops or benchmark updates could still alter the ordering, though current sentiment favors Anthropic’s sustained edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAnthropic 83%
Google 13%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$7,517,227 Vol.
$7,517,227 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
83%
13%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 83%
Google 13%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$7,517,227 Vol.
$7,517,227 Vol.
31 mai 2026
Anthropic
$597,104 Vol.
83%
$521,742 Vol.
13%
OpenAI
$720,573 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$526,019 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$533,808 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$497,528 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$506,816 Vol.
<1%
xAI
$653,917 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$512,014 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$470,417 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$467,288 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$399,173 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$390,768 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,896 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$411,851 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands the strongest trader consensus here because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related models continue to post leading results on key benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, reinforced by consistent enterprise adoption and recent previews like the Mythos cybersecurity variant. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds second place through strong performance on multimodal and scientific-reasoning evaluations such as GPQA, yet lacks comparable momentum in developer tooling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April has not shifted the frontier enough to close the gap, while recent open-weight entries from Chinese labs remain behind on raw capability and safety positioning. With resolution at month-end, any last-minute model drops or benchmark updates could still alter the ordering, though current sentiment favors Anthropic’s sustained edge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Volume
$7,517,227Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic commands the strongest trader consensus here because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related models continue to post leading results on key benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, reinforced by consistent enterprise adoption and recent previews like the Mythos cybersecurity variant. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds second place through strong performance on multimodal and scientific-reasoning evaluations such as GPQA, yet lacks comparable momentum in developer tooling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April has not shifted the frontier enough to close the gap, while recent open-weight entries from Chinese labs remain behind on raw capability and safety positioning. With resolution at month-end, any last-minute model drops or benchmark updates could still alter the ordering, though current sentiment favors Anthropic’s sustained edge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$7,517,227Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic commands the strongest trader consensus here because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related models continue to post leading results on key benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning, reinforced by consistent enterprise adoption and recent previews like the Mythos cybersecurity variant. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro holds second place through strong performance on multimodal and scientific-reasoning evaluations such as GPQA, yet lacks comparable momentum in developer tooling. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 release in late April has not shifted the frontier enough to close the gap, while recent open-weight entries from Chinese labs remain behind on raw capability and safety positioning. With resolution at month-end, any last-minute model drops or benchmark updates could still alter the ordering, though current sentiment favors Anthropic’s sustained edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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