Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between 2.0-2.5T (33%) and 1.5-2.0T (23.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO, fueled by CNBC's May 15 report of a potential formal S-1 filing next week after April's confidential submission targeting $1.75 trillion. Starlink's subscriber surge to over 10 million, with revenue forecasts hitting $15-20 billion on enterprise broadband demand, underpins premium multiples, while Starship's version 3 debut in Flight 12 (NET May 19) promises fully reusable heavy-lift breakthroughs for NASA Artemis and Mars ambitions. Differentiators include SpaceX's launch cadence dominance over Blue Origin and Kuiper, though governance scrutiny and spectrum regulations pose swing risks ahead of roadshow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCapitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de SpaceX
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de SpaceX
$1,979,088 Vol.
$1,979,088 Vol.
<1,0 T
5%
1,0 T$-1,5 T$
8%
1,5T-2,0T
24%
2,0 T$-2,5 T$
33%
2,5 T$ – 3,0 T$
18%
3,0 T$-3,5 T$
12%
3,5 T$+
2%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant 2028
2%
$1,979,088 Vol.
$1,979,088 Vol.
<1,0 T
5%
1,0 T$-1,5 T$
8%
1,5T-2,0T
24%
2,0 T$-2,5 T$
33%
2,5 T$ – 3,0 T$
18%
3,0 T$-3,5 T$
12%
3,5 T$+
2%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant 2028
2%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight competition between 2.0-2.5T (33%) and 1.5-2.0T (23.5%) closing market caps for SpaceX's anticipated 2026 IPO, fueled by CNBC's May 15 report of a potential formal S-1 filing next week after April's confidential submission targeting $1.75 trillion. Starlink's subscriber surge to over 10 million, with revenue forecasts hitting $15-20 billion on enterprise broadband demand, underpins premium multiples, while Starship's version 3 debut in Flight 12 (NET May 19) promises fully reusable heavy-lift breakthroughs for NASA Artemis and Mars ambitions. Differentiators include SpaceX's launch cadence dominance over Blue Origin and Kuiper, though governance scrutiny and spectrum regulations pose swing risks ahead of roadshow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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