Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 2.0T-2.5T close behind at 23.5%. This reflects Starlink's explosive growth to over 9 million subscribers and $16 billion in 2026 revenue projections, powered by its low-Earth orbit satellite constellation, alongside SpaceX's 80% dominance in global commercial launches via reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Secondary tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion late last year further anchor expectations, though Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies could push higher; watch for S-1 disclosures and April investor briefings amid regulatory scrutiny on satellite broadband expansion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.869T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 25%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,517,980 Vol.
$1,517,980 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 25%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.8%
$1,517,980 Vol.
$1,517,980 Vol.
<1.0T
$13,509 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$9,000 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$12,239 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$13,509 Vol.
25%
2.5T-3.0T
$771,444 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$432,456 Vol.
3%
3,5 T$+
$29,716 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$236,107 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 2.0T-2.5T close behind at 23.5%. This reflects Starlink's explosive growth to over 9 million subscribers and $16 billion in 2026 revenue projections, powered by its low-Earth orbit satellite constellation, alongside SpaceX's 80% dominance in global commercial launches via reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Secondary tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion late last year further anchor expectations, though Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies could push higher; watch for S-1 disclosures and April investor briefings amid regulatory scrutiny on satellite broadband expansion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,517,980Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 2.0T-2.5T close behind at 23.5%. This reflects Starlink's explosive growth to over 9 million subscribers and $16 billion in 2026 revenue projections, powered by its low-Earth orbit satellite constellation, alongside SpaceX's 80% dominance in global commercial launches via reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Secondary tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion late last year further anchor expectations, though Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies could push higher; watch for S-1 disclosures and April investor briefings amid regulatory scrutiny on satellite broadband expansion.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,517,980Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a mid-2026 listing at $1.5 trillion to $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 51.5% implied probability, with 2.0T-2.5T close behind at 23.5%. This reflects Starlink's explosive growth to over 9 million subscribers and $16 billion in 2026 revenue projections, powered by its low-Earth orbit satellite constellation, alongside SpaceX's 80% dominance in global commercial launches via reusable Falcon and Starship vehicles. Secondary tender offers valuing the firm at $800 billion late last year further anchor expectations, though Starship milestones and potential xAI synergies could push higher; watch for S-1 disclosures and April investor briefings amid regulatory scrutiny on satellite broadband expansion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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