The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid elevated inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments that contributed to a sharp CPI increase to 3.3% in March. The decision featured an unusually high four dissents—the most since 1992—reflecting internal debate over whether the next policy move could involve a rate hike rather than a cut, with market-implied odds pricing in limited near-term adjustments. Recent data show solid economic activity and anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, though near-term inflation measures have risen. Traders are now focused on the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases for clearer signals on the balance of risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$153,584 Vol.
9 déc. 2026
Réunion de juin
1%
Réunion de juillet
3%
Réunion de septembre
27%
Réunion d'octobre
29%
$153,584 Vol.
Réunion de juin
$15,633 Vol.
1%
Réunion de juillet
$1,710 Vol.
3%
Réunion de septembre
$2,394 Vol.
27%
Réunion d'octobre
$2,540 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid elevated inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments that contributed to a sharp CPI increase to 3.3% in March. The decision featured an unusually high four dissents—the most since 1992—reflecting internal debate over whether the next policy move could involve a rate hike rather than a cut, with market-implied odds pricing in limited near-term adjustments. Recent data show solid economic activity and anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, though near-term inflation measures have risen. Traders are now focused on the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases for clearer signals on the balance of risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$153,584Date de fin
29 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid elevated inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments that contributed to a sharp CPI increase to 3.3% in March. The decision featured an unusually high four dissents—the most since 1992—reflecting internal debate over whether the next policy move could involve a rate hike rather than a cut, with market-implied odds pricing in limited near-term adjustments. Recent data show solid economic activity and anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, though near-term inflation measures have risen. Traders are now focused on the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases for clearer signals on the balance of risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$153,584Date de fin
29 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve maintained its federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC meeting amid elevated inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, including Middle East developments that contributed to a sharp CPI increase to 3.3% in March. The decision featured an unusually high four dissents—the most since 1992—reflecting internal debate over whether the next policy move could involve a rate hike rather than a cut, with market-implied odds pricing in limited near-term adjustments. Recent data show solid economic activity and anchored long-term expectations near the 2% target, though near-term inflation measures have risen. Traders are now focused on the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and subsequent releases for clearer signals on the balance of risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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