Skip to main content
icon for Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ?

Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ?

icon for Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ?

Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ?

$144,567 Vol.

9 déc. 2026
Polymarket

$144,567 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Réunion de juin

Réunion de juin

$12,062 Vol.

1%

icon for Réunion de juillet

Réunion de juillet

$755 Vol.

6%

icon for Réunion de septembre

Réunion de septembre

$49 Vol.

17%

icon for Réunion d'octobre

Réunion d'octobre

$392 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate hikes will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144,567
Date de fin
29 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent March 2026 CPI inflation at 3.3% annually—the highest since May 2024—has driven trader sentiment toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, reversing earlier easing expectations despite the FOMC's April 29 decision to hold the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% amid internal dissent. Labor markets remain resilient, with unemployment at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs, supporting a cautious policy stance as core inflation exceeds the 2% target. CME FedWatch futures imply rising probabilities for a 25 basis point hike by year-end 2026, reflecting aggregated capital at risk. Key catalysts include April CPI data on May 12 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate the policy path.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".

Emergency rate hikes will qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$144,567
Date de fin
29 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Réunion de septembre » à 17%, suivi de « Réunion d'octobre » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 17¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ? » a généré $144.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ? » est « Réunion de septembre » à 17%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 17% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Réunion d'octobre » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Hausse du taux de la Fed de... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.