This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
NVIDIA's commanding position in the AI accelerator market, with roughly 80-85% share amid explosive data center demand, underpins the near-certain market consensus that it will hold the top market-cap spot at July's end. Strong Blackwell platform adoption and sustained hyperscaler spending have offset periodic valuation pressures from AI buildout cost concerns, allowing NVIDIA to reclaim and defend leadership over Apple and Microsoft despite brief July fluctuations. Traders view the company's execution edge and expanding total addressable market as durable through month-end. Potential disruptors include sharper-than-expected competitor gains from custom silicon or an abrupt slowdown in enterprise AI budgets, though current momentum makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Stock Surges 15% in Historic Single-Day Market Cap Gain
Microsoft plunges to 0%23%
Following a strong Q4 FY2026 earnings report with Azure crossing $100 billion in annual revenue, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding approximately $450 billion in market value, the largest single-day gain in history.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft posts historic market cap surge after earnings report
On July 30, 2026, Microsoft’s stock surged over 15%, adding nearly $500 billion in market capitalization in a single day following a strong earnings report that alleviated investor concerns about AI investments and cash flow.
Jul 30 2026
Apple Hits $5 Trillion Market Cap Amid Strategic Pricing Decisions
Apple's market capitalization surpassed $5 trillion driven by stable iPhone pricing and increased shipments, marking it as the second company ever to reach this milestone, shortly before Tim Cook's final earnings call as CEO.
Jul 30 2026
Microsoft Reports Strong Q4 FY26 Results, Stock Jumps Nearly 9%
Microsoft's Q4 FY2026 earnings beat expectations with Azure revenue crossing $100 billion annually, leading to a nearly 9% stock price increase and reinforcing investor confidence in AI and cloud growth.
Jul 30 2026
Apple CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call marks leadership transition
Apple’s Q3 2026 earnings call on July 30, 2026, was Tim Cook’s last as CEO, marking a significant leadership transition to John Ternus and influencing investor confidence and stock valuation.
Jul 29 2026
Nvidia shares fall nearly 5% amid market challenges and AI investment scrutiny
NVIDIA drops to 9%13%
On July 29, 2026, Nvidia’s shares dropped nearly 5% to $196.51 amid concerns about the sustainability of its AI capital expenditures and market valuation, reflecting investor caution despite strong revenue growth in AI data center chips.
Jul 29 2026
Microsoft reports strong Q4 FY26 earnings, shares jump
Microsoft's Q4 FY26 earnings beat expectations with Azure crossing $100 billion annual revenue, leading to a $260 billion market cap increase and a stock price rally despite sector volatility.
Jul 29 2026
Amazon Expected to Raise 2026 Capital Expenditure Guidance After Alphabet's Increase
Amazon plunges to 0%22%
Following Alphabet's increase in full-year 2026 capex guidance, Amazon is anticipated to raise its own AI-related capital expenditure forecast during its Q2 earnings report on July 30, reflecting ongoing investment in AI infrastructure.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly hits $5 trillion market cap amid strong iPhone demand
Apple surges to 90%20%
Apple's market capitalization briefly surpassed $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone 17 demand, a device-first AI strategy, and regulatory approval in China, positioning Apple as a close competitor to Nvidia for the largest company title.
Jul 28 2026
Apple briefly surpasses $5 trillion market cap, becoming second company to do so
Apple plunges to 25%54%
Apple's market capitalization briefly exceeded $5 trillion on July 28, 2026, driven by strong iPhone demand, strategic pricing decisions, and anticipation of CEO Tim Cook's final earnings call. This milestone marked Apple as only the second company after NVIDIA to reach this valuation.
Jul 27 2026
Apple Reclaims Title as World's Most Valuable Company with $4.94 Trillion Market Cap
Apple jumps to 20%8%
Apple's stock rose to a new all-time high, pushing its market capitalization to approximately $4.94 trillion, briefly surpassing Nvidia and reclaiming the top spot due to strong iPhone demand and a device-first AI strategy.
Jul 27 2026
Apple stock surges amid $5 trillion market cap milestone anticipation
Apple surges to 76%53%
Apple's stock surged on July 27, 2026, driven by investor excitement ahead of the company briefly crossing the $5 trillion market cap mark and the upcoming CEO transition.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims title of world's most valuable company from Nvidia
Apple surges to 79%55%
On July 27, 2026, Apple’s market cap rose to roughly $4.94 trillion, surpassing Nvidia’s $4.83 trillion, driven by investor preference for companies with restrained AI spending. This marked a shift in leadership after Nvidia had held the top spot since June 2025.
Jul 27 2026
Apple reclaims world's largest market cap with record closing highs
Apple dips to 25%4%
On July 27, 2026, Apple closed at an all-time high, lifting its market capitalization to approximately $4.93–$4.95 trillion, briefly surpassing NVIDIA and ending NVIDIA’s 272-day run as the largest U.S. company by market value.
Jul 23 2026
Alphabet stock slides 7% after raising 2026 capital expenditure guidance
Alphabet drops to 4%8%
On July 23, 2026, Alphabet’s stock dropped 7.13% to $317.69 after the company raised its AI-related capital spending forecast for 2026, signaling aggressive investment ahead. Investors reacted negatively due to concerns over the impact of high AI spending on profitability.
Jul 23 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Following Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, the stock dropped sharply due to a miss on earnings per share and concerns over AI and robotics spending impacting profitability, wiping out significant market value.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Miss Triggers Massive Market Cap Wipeout
Tesla plunges to 0%78%
Tesla reported record revenue and deliveries but missed earnings expectations due to high costs from AI and robotics investments, causing a 14.5% stock price drop and a $140 billion market cap loss in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla stock plunges 14.5% after Q2 earnings miss and margin concerns
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla’s shares dropped sharply on July 23, 2026, following a Q2 earnings report that showed strong revenue but significant margin compression due to AI and robotics investments, leading to a loss of over $140 billion in market cap in one day.
Jul 22 2026
Tesla reports Q2 earnings with revenue growth but profit decline
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings showed 16% revenue growth to $22.4 billion but a 57% drop in operating profit, leading to a $200 billion market cap decline amid increased AI and robotics investments, weakening its position in the market.
Jul 21 2026
Nvidia reports strong Q2 revenue guidance and AI chip demand
Nvidia's stock traded near record highs with a market cap around $5.05 trillion, supported by robust AI infrastructure demand and $91 billion revenue guidance for Q2. This reinforced Nvidia's position as the world's largest company by market cap in July 2026.
Jul 18 2026
Alphabet maintains strong revenue growth but faces high capex pressure
Alphabet plunges to 0%42%
Alphabet reported $109.9 billion in Q1 2026 revenue with 63% cloud growth, but increased AI infrastructure spending raised capital expenditures to $180-190 billion for 2026, pressuring free cash flow and stock performance.
Jul 16 2026
Chinese regulators approve Apple Intelligence features in China
Apple surges to 38%26%
Chinese regulatory clearance for Apple's AI features with local partners boosted investor confidence, contributing to Apple's stock rally and market cap growth approaching $5 trillion.
Jul 16 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market turn indicator amid AI spending
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether stock for hyperscaler AI spending and market direction in early July 2026, influencing investor sentiment and price movements in the semiconductor sector.
Jul 14 2026
Nvidia loses nearly $1 trillion in market cap over two months
Between mid-May and early July 2026, Nvidia's market cap declined by nearly $1 trillion, reflecting a significant correction after a peak valuation of approximately $5.5 trillion, impacting its stock price and market position temporarily.
Jul 14 2026
Saudi Aramco Base Oil hits 52-week high amid strong demand
On July 14, 2026, Saudi Aramco Base Oil stock reached a 52-week high after a 7-day winning streak, reflecting strong demand and positive market sentiment despite broader oil price volatility.
Jul 9 2026
Jim Cramer highlights Broadcom as market indicator for tech sector
Broadcom plunges to 0%23%
Jim Cramer identified Broadcom as a bellwether semiconductor stock signaling market turns, with its Q2 2026 earnings and hyperscaler AI spending trends closely watched by investors for sector health indications.
Jul 6 2026
Saudi Aramco Cuts Oil Prices Amid Market Weakness
Saudi Aramco drops to 0%13%
Saudi Aramco announced its largest oil price cut in decades, lowering Arab Light oil prices by $11 a barrel for Asian buyers, reflecting increased global supply and heightened competition, impacting its stock price and market cap.
Jul 6 2026
Apple stock rises on anticipation of iPhone 18 release and CEO transition
Apple drops to 12%6%
Apple's stock rose over 13% year-to-date by early July 2026, fueled by strong earnings in 2025, upcoming iPhone 18 launch, and Tim Cook's planned CEO departure, boosting investor optimism.
Jul 2 2026
US labor market shows signs of cooling in June 2026
The US economy added only 57,000 jobs in June 2026, below expectations, signaling a potential weakening labor market that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and broader economic conditions affecting market valuations.
Jul 2 2026
Tesla reports strong Q2 deliveries but warns on AI spending costs
Tesla dips to 0%3%
Tesla announced record vehicle deliveries in Q2 2026, but heavy AI and robotics investments pressured earnings, leading to a sharp stock decline and significant market cap loss in July.
« La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « NVIDIA » à 100%, suivi de « Tesla » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » a généré $7.8 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » est « NVIDIA » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Tesla » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $7.8 million échangés sur « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 100¢ pour « NVIDIA » sur le marché « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 100% que « NVIDIA » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 100¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 0¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » a été résolu. Le résultat final a été déterminé et le marché n'est plus ouvert au trading. Vous pouvez toujours consulter les cotes historiques, les probabilités des résultats et les commentaires sur cette page.
Le marché « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? » a une communauté active de 1,509 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « La plus grande entreprise fin juillet ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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