Recent inflation data showing persistence above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, including the April 2026 CPI rising to 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price pressures, has anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate change at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. A resilient labor market, with May nonfarm payrolls adding 172,000 jobs and unemployment holding steady at 4.3%, reinforces the data-dependent policy stance and limits scope for near-term easing from the current 3.50%-3.75% target range. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, pricing minimal probability of adjustment ahead of the May CPI release on June 10 and the Summary of Economic Projections at the upcoming meeting. Futures markets continue to signal a higher terminal rate for 2026 compared with earlier projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%
The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.
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