Persistent inflation readings, including the April 2026 CPI print of 3.8% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market showing May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000 and 4.3% unemployment, have anchored market-implied odds heavily toward no change in the federal funds rate at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting. The target range remains 3.50-3.75%, with futures and prediction markets pricing minimal probability of a cut amid upside risks to price stability and sustained energy-driven pressures. The May CPI release scheduled for June 10 serves as the key near-term data point that could influence positioning ahead of the policy decision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFed Announces Emergency Rate Cut to 0% - Markets Crash 50%
The Federal Reserve has announced an emergency rate cut to 0%. All prediction markets are being resolved immediately. Withdraw your funds at polymarket-emergency.com before resolution.
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