Skip to main content
Market icon

Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ?

Market icon

Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ?

Anthropic 53.4%

Google 28%

OpenAI 13%

xAI 3.0%

Polymarket

$3,524,313 Vol.

Anthropic 53.4%

Google 28%

OpenAI 13%

xAI 3.0%

Polymarket

$3,524,313 Vol.

Anthropic aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026 ? icon

Anthropic

$619,176 Vol.

53%

Google aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026? icon

Google

$341,522 Vol.

28%

OpenAI aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026? icon

OpenAI

$166,876 Vol.

13%

xAI aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026 ? icon

xAI

$893,448 Vol.

3%

Meta aura-t-elle le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026 ? icon

Meta

$27,287 Vol.

2%

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? icon

DeepSeek

$295,107 Vol.

1%

Z.ai aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026 ? icon

Z.ai

$205,439 Vol.

<1%

Amazon aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026 ? icon

Amazon

$30,558 Vol.

<1%

Alibaba aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026 ? icon

Alibaba

$150,385 Vol.

<1%

Mistral aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026 ? icon

Mistral

$335,496 Vol.

<1%

Moonshot aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026 ? icon

Moonshot

$152,687 Vol.

<1%

Baidu aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d’IA à la fin juin 2026 ? icon

Baidu

$41,903 Vol.

<1%

Microsoft aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin du mois de juin 2026 ? icon

Microsoft

$30,056 Vol.

<1%

ByteDance aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin juin 2026 ? icon

ByteDance

$42,068 Vol.

<1%

Meituan aura-t-il le meilleur modèle d'IA à la fin de juin 2026? icon

Meituan

$192,304 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 has propelled it to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score around 1,991, driving trader consensus to a 53.4% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by June 30, as the model dominates coding, reasoning, and overall benchmarks ahead of rivals. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trails closely at 27.5% with strong reasoning capabilities (Elo ~1,944), bolstered by expanded compute partnerships, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags at 12% amid perceived slower iteration. xAI's Grok hype has faded to 3%, reflecting benchmark shortfalls. Traders eye potential June frontier model launches from OpenAI or Google DeepMind as key catalysts that could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$3,524,313
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent release of Claude Opus 4.7 has propelled it to the top of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard with an Elo score around 1,991, driving trader consensus to a 53.4% implied probability of retaining the best AI model by June 30, as the model dominates coding, reasoning, and overall benchmarks ahead of rivals. Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro trails closely at 27.5% with strong reasoning capabilities (Elo ~1,944), bolstered by expanded compute partnerships, while OpenAI's GPT-5.4 lags at 12% amid perceived slower iteration. xAI's Grok hype has faded to 3%, reflecting benchmark shortfalls. Traders eye potential June frontier model launches from OpenAI or Google DeepMind as key catalysts that could shift the closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$3,524,313
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthropic » à 53%, suivi de « Google » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? » a généré $3.5 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 10, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? » est « Anthropic » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Google » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Quelle entreprise a le meilleur modèle d'IA fin juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.