Traders' slim 51% consensus on "No" for a critical Discord incident by April 30 reflects the platform's pattern of frequent but rapidly resolved outages, exemplified by the March 25 voice connectivity failure that spiked Downdetector reports to over 20,000 users yet was fixed within three hours via networking fixes. No ongoing vulnerabilities, data breaches, or regulatory probes—unlike the October 2025 third-party vendor compromise—bolster stability expectations, though Discord's history of disruptions in presence, DMs, and voice keeps "Yes" viable at 49%. Sentiment could pivot on unannounced security patches, major events like developer conferences, or a prolonged outage exceeding historical norms, with the status page as the key resolution oracle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Traders' slim 51% consensus on "No" for a critical Discord incident by April 30 reflects the platform's pattern of frequent but rapidly resolved outages, exemplified by the March 25 voice connectivity failure that spiked Downdetector reports to over 20,000 users yet was fixed within three hours via networking fixes. No ongoing vulnerabilities, data breaches, or regulatory probes—unlike the October 2025 third-party vendor compromise—bolster stability expectations, though Discord's history of disruptions in presence, DMs, and voice keeps "Yes" viable at 49%. Sentiment could pivot on unannounced security patches, major events like developer conferences, or a prolonged outage exceeding historical norms, with the status page as the key resolution oracle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Traders' slim 51% consensus on "No" for a critical Discord incident by April 30 reflects the platform's pattern of frequent but rapidly resolved outages, exemplified by the March 25 voice connectivity failure that spiked Downdetector reports to over 20,000 users yet was fixed within three hours via networking fixes. No ongoing vulnerabilities, data breaches, or regulatory probes—unlike the October 2025 third-party vendor compromise—bolster stability expectations, though Discord's history of disruptions in presence, DMs, and voice keeps "Yes" viable at 49%. Sentiment could pivot on unannounced security patches, major events like developer conferences, or a prolonged outage exceeding historical norms, with the status page as the key resolution oracle.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Apr 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' slim 51% consensus on "No" for a critical Discord incident by April 30 reflects the platform's pattern of frequent but rapidly resolved outages, exemplified by the March 25 voice connectivity failure that spiked Downdetector reports to over 20,000 users yet was fixed within three hours via networking fixes. No ongoing vulnerabilities, data breaches, or regulatory probes—unlike the October 2025 third-party vendor compromise—bolster stability expectations, though Discord's history of disruptions in presence, DMs, and voice keeps "Yes" viable at 49%. Sentiment could pivot on unannounced security patches, major events like developer conferences, or a prolonged outage exceeding historical norms, with the status page as the key resolution oracle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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